Current ensemble forecasts project overnight lows of 9–12°C in Helsinki for September 3, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, amid southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest downward revisions in recent runs due to increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture, yet still leaves room for localized drops toward 8°C or below under clearer breaks. Trader positioning, with 8°C or below at 47.5% implied probability, reflects this forecast spread and the short time to resolution, while historical September extremes (record low 1.4°C) underscore the tail risk priced into lower bins. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Helsinki el 3 de septiembre?
15°C 48%
8°C or below 48%
18°C o más 47%
11°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
8°C or below
48%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
2%
15°C
48%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C o más
47%
15°C 48%
8°C or below 48%
18°C o más 47%
11°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$4 Vol.
2%
15°C
$5 Vol.
48%
16°C
$5 Vol.
4%
17°C
$5 Vol.
8%
18°C o más
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts project overnight lows of 9–12°C in Helsinki for September 3, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, amid southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest downward revisions in recent runs due to increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture, yet still leaves room for localized drops toward 8°C or below under clearer breaks. Trader positioning, with 8°C or below at 47.5% implied probability, reflects this forecast spread and the short time to resolution, while historical September extremes (record low 1.4°C) underscore the tail risk priced into lower bins. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts project overnight lows of 9–12°C in Helsinki for September 3, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, amid southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest downward revisions in recent runs due to increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture, yet still leaves room for localized drops toward 8°C or below under clearer breaks. Trader positioning, with 8°C or below at 47.5% implied probability, reflects this forecast spread and the short time to resolution, while historical September extremes (record low 1.4°C) underscore the tail risk priced into lower bins. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts project overnight lows of 9–12°C in Helsinki for September 3, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.3°C, amid southwesterly flow, moderate winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest downward revisions in recent runs due to increased cloud cover and Atlantic moisture, yet still leaves room for localized drops toward 8°C or below under clearer breaks. Trader positioning, with 8°C or below at 47.5% implied probability, reflects this forecast spread and the short time to resolution, while historical September extremes (record low 1.4°C) underscore the tail risk priced into lower bins. Updated model runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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