Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Qingdao on September 3, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically limits extremes, yet the transition to early autumn allows for greater diurnal ranges when high pressure suppresses clouds and moisture. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures clustering around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September averages of 19–21°C, though variability in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Traders appear to weigh the chance of cooler advection against these baselines, with upcoming model updates from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 3 de septiembre?
14°C o menos 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
14°C o menos
99%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
25%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C o más
47%
14°C o menos 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$5 Vol.
99%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$4 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C o más
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Qingdao on September 3, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically limits extremes, yet the transition to early autumn allows for greater diurnal ranges when high pressure suppresses clouds and moisture. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures clustering around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September averages of 19–21°C, though variability in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Traders appear to weigh the chance of cooler advection against these baselines, with upcoming model updates from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$29Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Qingdao on September 3, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically limits extremes, yet the transition to early autumn allows for greater diurnal ranges when high pressure suppresses clouds and moisture. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures clustering around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September averages of 19–21°C, though variability in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Traders appear to weigh the chance of cooler advection against these baselines, with upcoming model updates from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Qingdao on September 3, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–30°C. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically limits extremes, yet the transition to early autumn allows for greater diurnal ranges when high pressure suppresses clouds and moisture. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures clustering around 20–22°C, consistent with historical early-September averages of 19–21°C, though variability in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Traders appear to weigh the chance of cooler advection against these baselines, with upcoming model updates from regional meteorological agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes