Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate overnight lows for Wuhan on September 13 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while typical September climatology (average lows ~21°C) and absence of fronts or significant moisture limit sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical autumn patterns and minimal expected variability in minimum temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wuhan el 13 de septiembre?
25°C o más 58%
15°C o menos 57%
24°C 39%
20°C 30%
15°C o menos
57%
16°C
15%
17°C
10%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
39%
25°C o más
58%
25°C o más 58%
15°C o menos 57%
24°C 39%
20°C 30%
15°C o menos
57%
16°C
15%
17°C
10%
18°C
18%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
39%
25°C o más
58%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and PredictWind indicate overnight lows for Wuhan on September 13 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C. Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while typical September climatology (average lows ~21°C) and absence of fronts or significant moisture limit sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical autumn patterns and minimal expected variability in minimum temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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