OpenAI's trader sentiment hinges on its $852 billion post-money valuation from a landmark $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, fueled by $25 billion annualized revenue from API usage exceeding 15 billion tokens daily. However, recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 12 revealed missed internal user growth and revenue targets amid competition from Anthropic and Alphabet, plus CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism toward a Q4 2026 IPO timeline due to $600 billion compute commitments. No S-1 filing has surfaced, raising delay risks and governance scrutiny around CEO Sam Altman's interests. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings and macroeconomic AI investment trends ahead of any listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,488,581 Vol.
$1,488,581 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
72%
1 billón de dólares
60%
$1,2 billones
57%
1,4 billones de dólares
55%
$1.6 billones
57%
$1,488,581 Vol.
$1,488,581 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
$95,686 Vol.
72%
1 billón de dólares
$1,041,440 Vol.
60%
$1,2 billones
$247,610 Vol.
57%
1,4 billones de dólares
$59,613 Vol.
55%
$1.6 billones
$44,232 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader sentiment hinges on its $852 billion post-money valuation from a landmark $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, fueled by $25 billion annualized revenue from API usage exceeding 15 billion tokens daily. However, recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 12 revealed missed internal user growth and revenue targets amid competition from Anthropic and Alphabet, plus CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism toward a Q4 2026 IPO timeline due to $600 billion compute commitments. No S-1 filing has surfaced, raising delay risks and governance scrutiny around CEO Sam Altman's interests. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings and macroeconomic AI investment trends ahead of any listing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,488,581Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader sentiment hinges on its $852 billion post-money valuation from a landmark $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, fueled by $25 billion annualized revenue from API usage exceeding 15 billion tokens daily. However, recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 12 revealed missed internal user growth and revenue targets amid competition from Anthropic and Alphabet, plus CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism toward a Q4 2026 IPO timeline due to $600 billion compute commitments. No S-1 filing has surfaced, raising delay risks and governance scrutiny around CEO Sam Altman's interests. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings and macroeconomic AI investment trends ahead of any listing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,488,581Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's trader sentiment hinges on its $852 billion post-money valuation from a landmark $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, fueled by $25 billion annualized revenue from API usage exceeding 15 billion tokens daily. However, recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 12 revealed missed internal user growth and revenue targets amid competition from Anthropic and Alphabet, plus CFO Sarah Friar's skepticism toward a Q4 2026 IPO timeline due to $600 billion compute commitments. No S-1 filing has surfaced, raising delay risks and governance scrutiny around CEO Sam Altman's interests. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings and macroeconomic AI investment trends ahead of any listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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