OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, following its $852 billion March 2026 private round and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the 89 percent market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $800 billion. Traders are pricing in a potential debut near or above $1 trillion, consistent with earlier banker discussions targeting that level, while the 76 percent probability on $1 trillion reflects optimism about AI-driven growth outpacing comparable tech listings. Recent reports of a possible 2027 timeline shift due to market conditions introduce downside risk, especially given unresolved profitability questions and the December 2027 resolution horizon. Upcoming catalysts include any public roadshow announcements or updates on competitive positioning versus Anthropic that could further influence implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
89%
1 billón de dólares
76%
$1,2 billones
60%
1,4 billones de dólares
45%
$1.6 billones
40%
$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
$106,210 Vol.
89%
1 billón de dólares
$1,046,720 Vol.
76%
$1,2 billones
$248,684 Vol.
60%
1,4 billones de dólares
$67,569 Vol.
45%
$1.6 billones
$48,746 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, following its $852 billion March 2026 private round and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the 89 percent market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $800 billion. Traders are pricing in a potential debut near or above $1 trillion, consistent with earlier banker discussions targeting that level, while the 76 percent probability on $1 trillion reflects optimism about AI-driven growth outpacing comparable tech listings. Recent reports of a possible 2027 timeline shift due to market conditions introduce downside risk, especially given unresolved profitability questions and the December 2027 resolution horizon. Upcoming catalysts include any public roadshow announcements or updates on competitive positioning versus Anthropic that could further influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,517,929Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, following its $852 billion March 2026 private round and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the 89 percent market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $800 billion. Traders are pricing in a potential debut near or above $1 trillion, consistent with earlier banker discussions targeting that level, while the 76 percent probability on $1 trillion reflects optimism about AI-driven growth outpacing comparable tech listings. Recent reports of a possible 2027 timeline shift due to market conditions introduce downside risk, especially given unresolved profitability questions and the December 2027 resolution horizon. Upcoming catalysts include any public roadshow announcements or updates on competitive positioning versus Anthropic that could further influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,517,929Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing, following its $852 billion March 2026 private round and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the 89 percent market-implied odds for an IPO closing market cap above $800 billion. Traders are pricing in a potential debut near or above $1 trillion, consistent with earlier banker discussions targeting that level, while the 76 percent probability on $1 trillion reflects optimism about AI-driven growth outpacing comparable tech listings. Recent reports of a possible 2027 timeline shift due to market conditions introduce downside risk, especially given unresolved profitability questions and the December 2027 resolution horizon. Upcoming catalysts include any public roadshow announcements or updates on competitive positioning versus Anthropic that could further influence implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
43%
Sí
¿OpenAI no realizará una OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
82%
Sí
¿SpaceX u OpenAI tendrá mayor capitalización de mercado en su salida a bolsa?
94%
SpaceX
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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