OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money private valuation after the March funding round, sets the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Monthly revenue run rate of $2 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports potential expansion toward or above $1 trillion at listing, though the company remains unprofitable amid heavy compute and R&D spending. Timing uncertainty—late 2026 versus 2027—combined with broader tech IPO window conditions, regulatory scrutiny, and comparable AI valuations will shape final market cap, with underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley guiding the process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,517,787 Vol.
$1,517,787 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
89%
1 billón de dólares
76%
$1,2 billones
60%
1,4 billones de dólares
36%
$1.6 billones
37%
$1,517,787 Vol.
$1,517,787 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
$106,210 Vol.
89%
1 billón de dólares
$1,046,720 Vol.
76%
$1,2 billones
$248,684 Vol.
60%
1,4 billones de dólares
$67,427 Vol.
36%
$1.6 billones
$48,746 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money private valuation after the March funding round, sets the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Monthly revenue run rate of $2 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports potential expansion toward or above $1 trillion at listing, though the company remains unprofitable amid heavy compute and R&D spending. Timing uncertainty—late 2026 versus 2027—combined with broader tech IPO window conditions, regulatory scrutiny, and comparable AI valuations will shape final market cap, with underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley guiding the process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,517,787Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money private valuation after the March funding round, sets the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Monthly revenue run rate of $2 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports potential expansion toward or above $1 trillion at listing, though the company remains unprofitable amid heavy compute and R&D spending. Timing uncertainty—late 2026 versus 2027—combined with broader tech IPO window conditions, regulatory scrutiny, and comparable AI valuations will shape final market cap, with underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley guiding the process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,517,787Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $852 billion post-money private valuation after the March funding round, sets the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Monthly revenue run rate of $2 billion, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand, supports potential expansion toward or above $1 trillion at listing, though the company remains unprofitable amid heavy compute and R&D spending. Timing uncertainty—late 2026 versus 2027—combined with broader tech IPO window conditions, regulatory scrutiny, and comparable AI valuations will shape final market cap, with underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley guiding the process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de OpenAI será de $1.5 billones o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su OPI antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
35%
Sí
¿OpenAI no realizará una OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
83%
Sí
¿SpaceX u OpenAI tendrá mayor capitalización de mercado en su salida a bolsa?
94%
SpaceX
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes