Early trader positioning in the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market reflects Tom Cruise and Matt Damon as the clearest early frontrunners at roughly 30% and 28.5% implied probability, driven by their star power and expected high-profile 2026 releases that could generate awards momentum. Andrew Scott follows at 17%, with Robert Pattinson and others trailing further behind, while the long list of names trading near 50% signals limited betting activity and high uncertainty this far out. Historical patterns show that guild precursors, critical reception, and campaign narratives often shift favorites dramatically once films premiere, creating opportunities for late surges or fades among contenders like Sebastian Stan or Pedro Pascal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor
Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor
Tom Cruise 30%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 17%
Robert Pattinson 12.6%
$74,613 Vol.
$74,613 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Tom Cruise
30%
Matt Damon
29%
Andrew Scott
17%
Robert Pattinson
13%
Sebastian Stan
6%
John Malkovich
5%
Ryan Gosling
3%
Sam Rockwell
3%
Pedro Pascal
2%
Timothée Chalamet
2%
Brad Pitt
1%
Javier Bardem
1%
Jeremy Strong
1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Adam Driver
<1%
Jaafar Jackson
<1%
Tom Cruise 30%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 17%
Robert Pattinson 12.6%
$74,613 Vol.
$74,613 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Tom Cruise
$8,047 Vol.
30%
Matt Damon
$27,767 Vol.
29%
Andrew Scott
$7,621 Vol.
17%
Robert Pattinson
$1,933 Vol.
13%
Sebastian Stan
$1,919 Vol.
6%
John Malkovich
$1,663 Vol.
5%
Ryan Gosling
$3,626 Vol.
3%
Sam Rockwell
$2,169 Vol.
3%
Pedro Pascal
$1,724 Vol.
2%
Timothée Chalamet
$2,602 Vol.
2%
Brad Pitt
$6,789 Vol.
1%
Javier Bardem
$1,108 Vol.
1%
Jeremy Strong
$1,652 Vol.
1%
Robert Aramayo
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,076 Vol.
<1%
John Turturro
$933 Vol.
<1%
Adam Driver
$881 Vol.
<1%
Jaafar Jackson
$1,742 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader positioning in the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market reflects Tom Cruise and Matt Damon as the clearest early frontrunners at roughly 30% and 28.5% implied probability, driven by their star power and expected high-profile 2026 releases that could generate awards momentum. Andrew Scott follows at 17%, with Robert Pattinson and others trailing further behind, while the long list of names trading near 50% signals limited betting activity and high uncertainty this far out. Historical patterns show that guild precursors, critical reception, and campaign narratives often shift favorites dramatically once films premiere, creating opportunities for late surges or fades among contenders like Sebastian Stan or Pedro Pascal.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volumen
$74,613Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader positioning in the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market reflects Tom Cruise and Matt Damon as the clearest early frontrunners at roughly 30% and 28.5% implied probability, driven by their star power and expected high-profile 2026 releases that could generate awards momentum. Andrew Scott follows at 17%, with Robert Pattinson and others trailing further behind, while the long list of names trading near 50% signals limited betting activity and high uncertainty this far out. Historical patterns show that guild precursors, critical reception, and campaign narratives often shift favorites dramatically once films premiere, creating opportunities for late surges or fades among contenders like Sebastian Stan or Pedro Pascal.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$74,613Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early trader positioning in the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market reflects Tom Cruise and Matt Damon as the clearest early frontrunners at roughly 30% and 28.5% implied probability, driven by their star power and expected high-profile 2026 releases that could generate awards momentum. Andrew Scott follows at 17%, with Robert Pattinson and others trailing further behind, while the long list of names trading near 50% signals limited betting activity and high uncertainty this far out. Historical patterns show that guild precursors, critical reception, and campaign narratives often shift favorites dramatically once films premiere, creating opportunities for late surges or fades among contenders like Sebastian Stan or Pedro Pascal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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