Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 and $80-$90 bins each at 22-23% implied probability, reflecting recent spot prices hovering near $87 amid surging industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and electronics—now comprising over 60% of total consumption—coupled with the sixth straight annual supply deficit of ~50 million ounces. Hotter-than-expected April 2026 US CPI data spurred volatility, strengthening the dollar and pressuring prices lower mid-week before industrial support rebounded them, as persistent inflation tempers Fed rate cut odds (Fed funds futures imply ~25bps easing in June). Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release on May 20 and FOMC minutes, which could shift USD dynamics and break the deadlock toward $90+ if deficits tighten further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
$70-$80 22.6%
$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 17%
$60-$70 15.0%
$579,286 Vol.
$579,286 Vol.
<$50
2%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
17%
$100-$115
15%
>$115
11%
$70-$80 22.6%
$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 17%
$60-$70 15.0%
$579,286 Vol.
$579,286 Vol.
<$50
2%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
17%
$100-$115
15%
>$115
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 and $80-$90 bins each at 22-23% implied probability, reflecting recent spot prices hovering near $87 amid surging industrial demand from solar panels, EVs, and electronics—now comprising over 60% of total consumption—coupled with the sixth straight annual supply deficit of ~50 million ounces. Hotter-than-expected April 2026 US CPI data spurred volatility, strengthening the dollar and pressuring prices lower mid-week before industrial support rebounded them, as persistent inflation tempers Fed rate cut odds (Fed funds futures imply ~25bps easing in June). Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release on May 20 and FOMC minutes, which could shift USD dynamics and break the deadlock toward $90+ if deficits tighten further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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