Skip to main content
icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

may 31

may 31

$139,364 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$139,364 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,290 Vol.

22%

↑ $4.70

$11,168 Vol.

45%

↑ $4.60

$11,413 Vol.

64%

↓ $4.25

$2,464 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.20

$1,860 Vol.

16%

↓ $4.10

$774 Vol.

14%

↓ $4.00

$884 Vol.

12%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Surging West Texas Intermediate crude at $102 per barrel and Brent at $107—fueled by escalating US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—have propelled US national average regular gasoline prices to $4.53 per gallon as of May 14, 2026, a 44% year-over-year surge per AAA data. EIA's latest Weekly Petroleum Status Report shows gasoline production up to 9.8 million barrels per day amid rising inventories, yet Memorial Day weekend kicks off peak summer driving demand, exerting upward pressure on retail margins. June RBOB futures trade near $3.63, reflecting trader consensus for modest stability absent supply shocks; watch EIA reports and geopolitical headlines for volatility through May's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$139,364
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Surging West Texas Intermediate crude at $102 per barrel and Brent at $107—fueled by escalating US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions—have propelled US national average regular gasoline prices to $4.53 per gallon as of May 14, 2026, a 44% year-over-year surge per AAA data. EIA's latest Weekly Petroleum Status Report shows gasoline production up to 9.8 million barrels per day amid rising inventories, yet Memorial Day weekend kicks off peak summer driving demand, exerting upward pressure on retail margins. June RBOB futures trade near $3.63, reflecting trader consensus for modest stability absent supply shocks; watch EIA reports and geopolitical headlines for volatility through May's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$139,364
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.50" con 100%, seguido de "↑ $4.45" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" ha generado $139.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will gas hit __ by end of May?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" es "↑ $4.50" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $4.45" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.