Skip to main content
icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanzas·Negocios

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$88,445 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$88,445 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$14,614 Vol.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$29,724 Vol.

25%

Allegiant

$19,788 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$7,095 Vol.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,223 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices, up over 120% since December amid geopolitical tensions and supply shortages, have crushed airline margins following Spirit Airlines' liquidation in early May after repeated Chapter 11 filings. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Frontier Airlines at a 30% implied probability of bankruptcy announcement by year-end, driven by its high debt load, limited hedging, and vulnerability to economic slowdowns, while JetBlue trades at 14% amid $755 million in 2026 maturities despite CEO denials. Q1 2026 earnings revealed record revenues—American Airlines hit $13.9 billion—but fuel expenses projected at $4 billion for the year eroded profitability across carriers. Upcoming Q2 results in July and debt refinancings will test liquidity amid persistent cost pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,445
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices, up over 120% since December amid geopolitical tensions and supply shortages, have crushed airline margins following Spirit Airlines' liquidation in early May after repeated Chapter 11 filings. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Frontier Airlines at a 30% implied probability of bankruptcy announcement by year-end, driven by its high debt load, limited hedging, and vulnerability to economic slowdowns, while JetBlue trades at 14% amid $755 million in 2026 maturities despite CEO denials. Q1 2026 earnings revealed record revenues—American Airlines hit $13.9 billion—but fuel expenses projected at $4 billion for the year eroded profitability across carriers. Upcoming Q2 results in July and debt refinancings will test liquidity amid persistent cost pressures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,445
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Frontier Airlines" con 25%, seguido de "JetBlue" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" ha generado $88.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" es "Frontier Airlines" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "JetBlue" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.