**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has already reached $785.8 million after 17 days, yet trader consensus heavily favors a sub-$900 million total by August 31. The film’s steep 51% third-weekend drop to $70 million, combined with the start of the back-to-school season and typical superhero audience decay, points to roughly $100–130 million in additional gross over the next two weeks. This trajectory aligns with historical patterns for high-opening tentpoles that lack exceptional word-of-mouth legs, making the 900–920 million bracket a realistic but contested upper band while rendering anything above $940 million a long shot. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum slowdown and the short remaining window more than any late-breaking positive factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿El total bruto interno de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" para el 31 de agosto? (Ataques más altos)
¿El total bruto interno de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" para el 31 de agosto? (Ataques más altos)
<900m 55%
900 - 920m 44%
920 - 940m 3.7%
1080m+ <1%
$198,673 Vol.
$198,673 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<900m
55%
900 - 920m
44%
920 - 940m
4%
940 - 960m
<1%
960 - 980m
<1%
980 - 1000m
<1%
1000 - 1020m
<1%
1020 - 1040m
<1%
1040 - 1060m
<1%
1060 - 1080m
<1%
1080m+
1%
<900m 55%
900 - 920m 44%
920 - 940m 3.7%
1080m+ <1%
$198,673 Vol.
$198,673 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<900m
$28,300 Vol.
55%
900 - 920m
$21,612 Vol.
44%
920 - 940m
$11,414 Vol.
4%
940 - 960m
$13,105 Vol.
<1%
960 - 980m
$8,299 Vol.
<1%
980 - 1000m
$4,339 Vol.
<1%
1000 - 1020m
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
1020 - 1040m
$764 Vol.
<1%
1040 - 1060m
$837 Vol.
<1%
1060 - 1080m
$873 Vol.
<1%
1080m+
$107,339 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has already reached $785.8 million after 17 days, yet trader consensus heavily favors a sub-$900 million total by August 31. The film’s steep 51% third-weekend drop to $70 million, combined with the start of the back-to-school season and typical superhero audience decay, points to roughly $100–130 million in additional gross over the next two weeks. This trajectory aligns with historical patterns for high-opening tentpoles that lack exceptional word-of-mouth legs, making the 900–920 million bracket a realistic but contested upper band while rendering anything above $940 million a long shot. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum slowdown and the short remaining window more than any late-breaking positive factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volumen
$198,673Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has already reached $785.8 million after 17 days, yet trader consensus heavily favors a sub-$900 million total by August 31. The film’s steep 51% third-weekend drop to $70 million, combined with the start of the back-to-school season and typical superhero audience decay, points to roughly $100–130 million in additional gross over the next two weeks. This trajectory aligns with historical patterns for high-opening tentpoles that lack exceptional word-of-mouth legs, making the 900–920 million bracket a realistic but contested upper band while rendering anything above $940 million a long shot. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum slowdown and the short remaining window more than any late-breaking positive factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$198,673Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31 and has already reached $785.8 million after 17 days, yet trader consensus heavily favors a sub-$900 million total by August 31. The film’s steep 51% third-weekend drop to $70 million, combined with the start of the back-to-school season and typical superhero audience decay, points to roughly $100–130 million in additional gross over the next two weeks. This trajectory aligns with historical patterns for high-opening tentpoles that lack exceptional word-of-mouth legs, making the 900–920 million bracket a realistic but contested upper band while rendering anything above $940 million a long shot. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum slowdown and the short remaining window more than any late-breaking positive factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será la recaudación doméstica total de Spider-Man: Brand New Day entre 800 y 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
57%
Sí
¿Será la recaudación de taquilla del tercer fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" menor a 72 millones?
96%
Sí
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?
97%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes