Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin polling average falling in the 38.5–38.9% range (66.5%) on May 15, driven by a string of recent polls reflecting economic discontent amid the escalating Iran conflict and record-high gas prices. Surveys from early May, including Reuters/Ipsos at 34% approval and Post-ABC-Ipsos showing disapproval at a second-term high of 62%, have eroded support among independents (down to 25–26%) and Hispanic voters, pulling the aggregator into the upper 30s despite steady Republican backing around 85%. With 2026 midterms six months away, no countervailing positive developments have emerged in the past week to lift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 63%
38.0–38.4 34.8%
39.0–39.4 4.3%
<38.0 1.2%
$19,320 Vol.
$19,320 Vol.
15 may 2026
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
35%
38.5–38.9
63%
39.0–39.4
4%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 63%
38.0–38.4 34.8%
39.0–39.4 4.3%
<38.0 1.2%
$19,320 Vol.
$19,320 Vol.
15 may 2026
<38.0
$2,825 Vol.
1%
38.0–38.4
$3,933 Vol.
35%
38.5–38.9
$4,491 Vol.
63%
39.0–39.4
$4,031 Vol.
4%
39.5–39.9
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
40.0+
$1,701 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin polling average falling in the 38.5–38.9% range (66.5%) on May 15, driven by a string of recent polls reflecting economic discontent amid the escalating Iran conflict and record-high gas prices. Surveys from early May, including Reuters/Ipsos at 34% approval and Post-ABC-Ipsos showing disapproval at a second-term high of 62%, have eroded support among independents (down to 25–26%) and Hispanic voters, pulling the aggregator into the upper 30s despite steady Republican backing around 85%. With 2026 midterms six months away, no countervailing positive developments have emerged in the past week to lift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volumen
$19,320Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin polling average falling in the 38.5–38.9% range (66.5%) on May 15, driven by a string of recent polls reflecting economic discontent amid the escalating Iran conflict and record-high gas prices. Surveys from early May, including Reuters/Ipsos at 34% approval and Post-ABC-Ipsos showing disapproval at a second-term high of 62%, have eroded support among independents (down to 25–26%) and Hispanic voters, pulling the aggregator into the upper 30s despite steady Republican backing around 85%. With 2026 midterms six months away, no countervailing positive developments have emerged in the past week to lift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$19,320Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin polling average falling in the 38.5–38.9% range (66.5%) on May 15, driven by a string of recent polls reflecting economic discontent amid the escalating Iran conflict and record-high gas prices. Surveys from early May, including Reuters/Ipsos at 34% approval and Post-ABC-Ipsos showing disapproval at a second-term high of 62%, have eroded support among independents (down to 25–26%) and Hispanic voters, pulling the aggregator into the upper 30s despite steady Republican backing around 85%. With 2026 midterms six months away, no countervailing positive developments have emerged in the past week to lift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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