Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual for a Billboard Hot 100 chart-topper, and strong fan-voting momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 24.5% as a longer-form entry that echoes last year’s winner but faces historical precedent challenges despite her 11 total nominations. Sabrina Carpenter’s “Tears” at 11% and the remaining nominees—Bruno Mars, GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean, and Ariana Grande—trail with single-digit odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and lower chart dominance. With fan voting closing September 25, recent nomination announcements and ongoing social engagement continue to shape the tight final window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVídeo VMA del año 2026
Vídeo VMA del año 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
66%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion con Yung Lean)
5%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 5%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 5%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
66%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
25%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
5%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
5%
Storm (Gener8ion con Yung Lean)
5%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads VMA Video of the Year trader sentiment at 65.5% implied probability, driven by her record five prior wins in the category, self-directed visual for a Billboard Hot 100 chart-topper, and strong fan-voting momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 24.5% as a longer-form entry that echoes last year’s winner but faces historical precedent challenges despite her 11 total nominations. Sabrina Carpenter’s “Tears” at 11% and the remaining nominees—Bruno Mars, GENER8ION featuring Yung Lean, and Ariana Grande—trail with single-digit odds reflecting fewer precursor signals and lower chart dominance. With fan voting closing September 25, recent nomination announcements and ongoing social engagement continue to shape the tight final window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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