Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?
¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?
< $481k 88%
$481k - $484k 12%
$484k - $487k 10.2%
>$495k <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
$481k - $484k
12%
$484k - $487k
10%
$493,000 - $495,000
<1%
$490k - $493k
<1%
>$495k
<1%
$487k - $490k
<1%
< $481k
78%
< $481k 88%
$481k - $484k 12%
$484k - $487k 10.2%
>$495k <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
$481k - $484k
$303 Vol.
12%
$484k - $487k
$381 Vol.
10%
$493,000 - $495,000
$302 Vol.
<1%
$490k - $493k
$328 Vol.
<1%
>$495k
$771 Vol.
<1%
$487k - $490k
$386 Vol.
<1%
< $481k
$737 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$3,208Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volumen
$3,208Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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