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Sports·World Cup

Which continent will win the World Cup?

icon for Which continent will win the World Cup?
Sports·World Cup

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Europe (UEFA) 65%

South America (CONMEBOL) 29%

North America (CONCACAF) 4.0%

Africa (CAF) 1.9%

Polymarket

$7,363,490 Vol.

Europe (UEFA) 65%

South America (CONMEBOL) 29%

North America (CONCACAF) 4.0%

Africa (CAF) 1.9%

Polymarket

$7,363,490 Vol.

Europe (UEFA)

$782,697 Vol.

65%

South America (CONMEBOL)

$556,863 Vol.

29%

North America (CONCACAF)

$1,086,255 Vol.

4%

Africa (CAF)

$1,738,254 Vol.

2%

Asia (AFC)

$1,187,565 Vol.

1%

Oceania (OCF)

$2,011,857 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe's deep pool of elite national teams, including current favorites France, Spain, England, and Portugal, underpins the 71.5% implied probability, reflecting their consistent recent form, squad depth, and historical dominance in major tournaments. Spain's Euro 2024 title and France's strong group-stage start with Kylian Mbappé in top scoring position have reinforced trader consensus, while Argentina and Brazil anchor South America's 19.5% share as the only realistic challengers from CONMEBOL. Other confederations trail due to fewer competitive sides reaching deep knockout stages, with early 2026 results showing limited upsets from Africa, Asia, or CONCACAF. Odds movements have remained stable as group play advances, underscoring Europe's structural advantages in talent distribution and experience.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,363,490
Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe's deep pool of elite national teams, including current favorites France, Spain, England, and Portugal, underpins the 71.5% implied probability, reflecting their consistent recent form, squad depth, and historical dominance in major tournaments. Spain's Euro 2024 title and France's strong group-stage start with Kylian Mbappé in top scoring position have reinforced trader consensus, while Argentina and Brazil anchor South America's 19.5% share as the only realistic challengers from CONMEBOL. Other confederations trail due to fewer competitive sides reaching deep knockout stages, with early 2026 results showing limited upsets from Africa, Asia, or CONCACAF. Odds movements have remained stable as group play advances, underscoring Europe's structural advantages in talent distribution and experience.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,363,490
Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which continent will win the World Cup?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Europe (UEFA)" con 65%, seguido de "South America (CONMEBOL)" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which continent will win the World Cup?" ha generado $7.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 8, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which continent will win the World Cup?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which continent will win the World Cup?" es "Europe (UEFA)" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "South America (CONMEBOL)" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which continent will win the World Cup?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.