US-Iran negotiations remain in a fragile state following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear program, and ballistic missiles. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has described talks as ongoing or "low-key," citing mediation from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials deny any immediate direct negotiations or plans. Recent strikes and blockades have complicated de-escalation, with diplomats passing messages through intermediaries and floating proposals for limited ceasefires or technical sessions. No new high-level round has been confirmed in the past week, and both sides continue to exchange conditions through regional channels ahead of the August 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién asistirá a una ronda de conversaciones de paz entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de agosto?
$89,449 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
43%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Esmail Qaani
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Jared Kushner
8%
Pete Hegseth
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
$89,449 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
43%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Esmail Qaani
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Jared Kushner
8%
Pete Hegseth
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations remain in a fragile state following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear program, and ballistic missiles. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has described talks as ongoing or "low-key," citing mediation from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials deny any immediate direct negotiations or plans. Recent strikes and blockades have complicated de-escalation, with diplomats passing messages through intermediaries and floating proposals for limited ceasefires or technical sessions. No new high-level round has been confirmed in the past week, and both sides continue to exchange conditions through regional channels ahead of the August 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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