US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the expiration of the 60-day window tied to the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, with core disputes over Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief, and frozen assets blocking progress toward a final agreement. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level meetings have paused amid a fragile ceasefire, though both sides continue exchanging messages through mediators including Oman and Qatar. Recent technical-level contacts and statements from US officials reaffirm commitment to talks, while Iranian representatives cite ongoing indirect channels without confirming immediate high-level attendance. Any round before August 31 would likely involve envoys rather than principals unless a breakthrough eases current procedural and substantive hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién asistirá a una ronda de conversaciones de paz entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de agosto?
$90,924 Vol.
Jared Kushner
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Nick Stewart
8%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,924 Vol.
Jared Kushner
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Nick Stewart
8%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the expiration of the 60-day window tied to the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, with core disputes over Strait of Hormuz maritime access, sanctions relief, and frozen assets blocking progress toward a final agreement. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level meetings have paused amid a fragile ceasefire, though both sides continue exchanging messages through mediators including Oman and Qatar. Recent technical-level contacts and statements from US officials reaffirm commitment to talks, while Iranian representatives cite ongoing indirect channels without confirming immediate high-level attendance. Any round before August 31 would likely involve envoys rather than principals unless a breakthrough eases current procedural and substantive hurdles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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