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Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

icon for World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Sports·2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

$5,753,385 Vol.

20 jul 2026
Polymarket

$5,753,385 Vol.

Polymarket

France

$235,209 Vol.

37%

Argentina

$184,946 Vol.

36%

Spain

$103,790 Vol.

24%

England

$88,611 Vol.

23%

Brazil

$59,621 Vol.

16%

Netherlands

$69,863 Vol.

12%

Portugal

$132,734 Vol.

12%

Germany

$77,712 Vol.

9%

Norway

$105,510 Vol.

8%

Mexico

$504,670 Vol.

6%

Colombia

$82,628 Vol.

6%

Morocco

$101,006 Vol.

6%

USA

$260,297 Vol.

6%

Belgium

$34,026 Vol.

4%

Japan

$107,531 Vol.

4%

Switzerland

$32,061 Vol.

3%

Senegal

$17,153 Vol.

2%

Croatia

$28,178 Vol.

2%

Egypt

$6,400 Vol.

2%

Ecuador

$21,494 Vol.

2%

Australia

$9,215 Vol.

2%

Canada

$10,388 Vol.

2%

Paraguay

$3,841 Vol.

2%

Ivory Coast

$14,594 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$18,122 Vol.

1%

Austria

$10,050 Vol.

1%

Ghana

$6,098 Vol.

1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$4,297 Vol.

1%

Algeria

$9,397 Vol.

1%

Cape Verde

$14,113 Vol.

1%

DR Congo

$2,575 Vol.

1%

South Africa

$9,195 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,753,385
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,753,385
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 48+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "France" con 37%, seguido de "Argentina" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" ha generado $5.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final", explora los 48+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" es "France" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Argentina" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "World Cup: Nation to Reach Final" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.