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Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis

icon for Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis

Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis

NUEVO
20 jul 2026
Polymarket

$68 Vol.

Polymarket

1+ matches

$57 Vol.

96%

2+ matches

$1 Vol.

88%

3+ matches

$0 Vol.

85%

4+ matches

$0 Vol.

50%

5+ matches

$0 Vol.

83%

6+ matches

$10 Vol.

77%

7+ matches

$0 Vol.

70%

8+ matches

$0 Vol.

62%

9+ matches

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$68
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$68
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1+ matches" con 96%, seguido de "2+ matches" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis" es "1+ matches" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "2+ matches" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Copa del Mundo: Número de partidos decididos por penaltis" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.