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icon for World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?

World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?

icon for World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?

World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?

8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA. USA and Iran occupy separate 2026 World Cup groups—USA in Group D alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye, while Iran sits in Group G with Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand—eliminating any group-stage meeting. Both sides must advance through the expanded 48-team format into the round of 32 and beyond, then align on a knockout bracket path that rarely occurs given typical seeding and regional allocations. Recent group results show USA posting strong early wins while Iran remains competitive yet faces tougher opposition; neither roster reports major injuries altering advancement odds materially. Trader consensus at 91% for no matchup reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent for limited cross-group collisions in later stages.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volumen
$121
Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA. USA and Iran occupy separate 2026 World Cup groups—USA in Group D alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye, while Iran sits in Group G with Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand—eliminating any group-stage meeting. Both sides must advance through the expanded 48-team format into the round of 32 and beyond, then align on a knockout bracket path that rarely occurs given typical seeding and regional allocations. Recent group results show USA posting strong early wins while Iran remains competitive yet faces tougher opposition; neither roster reports major injuries altering advancement odds materially. Trader consensus at 91% for no matchup reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent for limited cross-group collisions in later stages.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volumen
$121
Fecha de finalización
19 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States National Team takes the field to play the Iran National Team at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the match is scheduled and later cancelled, without a make-up date, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the matchup cannot be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 8% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 8¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?" es 8% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 8% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.