The large field of 132 players contesting the inaugural Biltmore Championship Asheville on the unfamiliar Jack Nicklaus-designed Cliffs at Walnut Cove layout drives the tightly bunched first-round leader probabilities. With no course history available and the event opening the FedExCup Fall series, where many competitors seek 2027 Tour status, trader consensus reflects broad parity across established names like Jacob Bridgeman and Jackson Koivun alongside rising talents and mid-tier professionals. Variable tee times, mountain elevation effects on distance and conditions, and the inherent volatility of opening rounds on new venues further compress implied probabilities, as any player in form or with favorable early groupings can post a low score before the field settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJonathan Byrd 100%
Ricky Castillo 100%
Corey Conners 100%
Pierceson Coody 100%
Jonathan Byrd
100%
Ricky Castillo
100%
Corey Conners
100%
Pierceson Coody
100%
Morgan Deneen
100%
Brice Garnett
100%
Doug Ghim
100%
Lucas Glover
100%
Fabian Gomez
100%
Max Greyserman
100%
Emiliano Grillo
100%
Adam Hadwin
100%
Nick Hardy
100%
Harry Higgs
100%
Kensei Hirata
100%
Ryo Hisatsune
100%
Lee Hodges
100%
Rico Hoey
100%
Tom Hoge
100%
Rasmus Hojgaard
100%
Billy Horschel
100%
Beau Hossler
100%
Mark Hubbard
100%
Mackenzie Hughes
100%
Stephan Jaeger
100%
Ben James
100%
Takumi Kanaya
100%
Jeffrey Kang
100%
Johnny Keefer
100%
Michael Kim
100%
Chris Kirk
100%
Kevin Kisner
100%
Patton Kizzire
100%
Ben Kohles
100%
Jackson Koivun
100%
Christo Lamprecht
100%
Henry Lebioda
100%
Hao-Tong Li
100%
David Lipsky
100%
Luke List
100%
Justin Lower
100%
Peter Malnati
100%
Ben Martin
100%
Denny McCarthy
100%
Max McGreevy
100%
Mac Meissner
100%
Troy Merritt
100%
Taylor Moore
100%
Zach Bauchou
-
Carson Bertagnole
-
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
-
Zac Blair
-
Chandler Blanchet
-
Jacob Bridgeman
-
Blades Brown
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
-
Trace Crowe
-
Joel Dahmen
-
Cam Davis
-
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
-
Tyler Duncan
-
Nick Dunlap
-
Nicolas Echavarria
-
Austin Eckroat
-
A.J. Ewart
-
Tony Finau
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
-
David Ford
-
Will Gordon
-
Lanto Griffin
-
William Mouw
-
Keita Nakajima
-
S.Y. Noh
-
Andrew Novak
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
-
Jeremy Paul
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Taylor Pendrith
-
Marco Penge
-
Paul Peterson
-
Chandler Phillips
-
JT Poston
-
Seamus Power
-
Andrew Putnam
-
Chad Ramey
-
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Marcelo Rozo
-
Isaiah Salinda
-
Gordon Sargent
-
Adam Schenk
-
Neal Shipley
-
Benjamin Silverman
-
Webb Simpson
-
Jonathan Byrd 100%
Ricky Castillo 100%
Corey Conners 100%
Pierceson Coody 100%
Jonathan Byrd
100%
Ricky Castillo
100%
Corey Conners
100%
Pierceson Coody
100%
Morgan Deneen
100%
Brice Garnett
100%
Doug Ghim
100%
Lucas Glover
100%
Fabian Gomez
100%
Max Greyserman
100%
Emiliano Grillo
100%
Adam Hadwin
100%
Nick Hardy
100%
Harry Higgs
100%
Kensei Hirata
100%
Ryo Hisatsune
100%
Lee Hodges
100%
Rico Hoey
100%
Tom Hoge
100%
Rasmus Hojgaard
100%
Billy Horschel
100%
Beau Hossler
100%
Mark Hubbard
100%
Mackenzie Hughes
100%
Stephan Jaeger
100%
Ben James
100%
Takumi Kanaya
100%
Jeffrey Kang
100%
Johnny Keefer
100%
Michael Kim
100%
Chris Kirk
100%
Kevin Kisner
100%
Patton Kizzire
100%
Ben Kohles
100%
Jackson Koivun
100%
Christo Lamprecht
100%
Henry Lebioda
100%
Hao-Tong Li
100%
David Lipsky
100%
Luke List
100%
Justin Lower
100%
Peter Malnati
100%
Ben Martin
100%
Denny McCarthy
100%
Max McGreevy
100%
Mac Meissner
100%
Troy Merritt
100%
Taylor Moore
100%
Zach Bauchou
-
Carson Bertagnole
-
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
-
Zac Blair
-
Chandler Blanchet
-
Jacob Bridgeman
-
Blades Brown
-
Rafael Campos
-
Davis Chatfield
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
-
Trace Crowe
-
Joel Dahmen
-
Cam Davis
-
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
-
Tyler Duncan
-
Nick Dunlap
-
Nicolas Echavarria
-
Austin Eckroat
-
A.J. Ewart
-
Tony Finau
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Steven Fisk
-
David Ford
-
Will Gordon
-
Lanto Griffin
-
William Mouw
-
Keita Nakajima
-
S.Y. Noh
-
Andrew Novak
-
Pontus Nyholm
-
John Parry
-
Jeremy Paul
-
Matthieu Pavon
-
Taylor Pendrith
-
Marco Penge
-
Paul Peterson
-
Chandler Phillips
-
JT Poston
-
Seamus Power
-
Andrew Putnam
-
Chad Ramey
-
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Marcelo Rozo
-
Isaiah Salinda
-
Gordon Sargent
-
Adam Schenk
-
Neal Shipley
-
Benjamin Silverman
-
Webb Simpson
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville is cancelled, postponed after October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville is cancelled, postponed after October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The large field of 132 players contesting the inaugural Biltmore Championship Asheville on the unfamiliar Jack Nicklaus-designed Cliffs at Walnut Cove layout drives the tightly bunched first-round leader probabilities. With no course history available and the event opening the FedExCup Fall series, where many competitors seek 2027 Tour status, trader consensus reflects broad parity across established names like Jacob Bridgeman and Jackson Koivun alongside rising talents and mid-tier professionals. Variable tee times, mountain elevation effects on distance and conditions, and the inherent volatility of opening rounds on new venues further compress implied probabilities, as any player in form or with favorable early groupings can post a low score before the field settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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