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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

icon for PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Michael Brennan 26%

Sam Burns 26%

Patrick Cantlay 26%

Bud Cauley 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Brennan 26%

Sam Burns 26%

Patrick Cantlay 26%

Bud Cauley 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Brennan

$0 Vol.

26%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

26%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

26%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

26%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

26%

Eric Cole

$0 Vol.

26%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

26%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

26%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

26%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

26%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

26%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

26%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

26%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

26%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

26%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

26%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

26%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

26%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

26%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

26%

Alexander Noren

$0 Vol.

26%

JT Poston

$0 Vol.

26%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

26%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

26%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

26%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

26%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

26%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

26%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

26%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

26%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$0 Vol.

26%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

26%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

26%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

26%

Matt McCarty

$0 Vol.

26%

Keith Mitchell

$0 Vol.

26%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

26%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

26%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

26%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

26%

Sahith Theegala

$0 Vol.

26%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

26%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

26%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

26%

Nicolas Echavarria

$0 Vol.

26%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

26%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

26%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$0 Vol.

26%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

26%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).The bunched pricing around 25-26% for dozens of players reflects the deep, evenly matched field of top-50 FedEx Cup competitors at Bellerive Country Club, where stroke-play scoring over four rounds rarely produces a dominant favorite. Recent momentum from the FedEx St. Jude Championship, including strong finishes by Scheffler, Burns, and Fitzpatrick, along with varying course histories at the Missouri layout and playoff positioning incentives, sustains the tight consensus. No single player has separated statistically or via recent results enough to shift implied probabilities meaningfully ahead of the August 18-23 event.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).The bunched pricing around 25-26% for dozens of players reflects the deep, evenly matched field of top-50 FedEx Cup competitors at Bellerive Country Club, where stroke-play scoring over four rounds rarely produces a dominant favorite. Recent momentum from the FedEx St. Jude Championship, including strong finishes by Scheffler, Burns, and Fitzpatrick, along with varying course histories at the Missouri layout and playoff positioning incentives, sustains the tight consensus. No single player has separated statistically or via recent results enough to shift implied probabilities meaningfully ahead of the August 18-23 event.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Brennan" at 26%, followed by "Sam Burns" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" is "Michael Brennan" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Burns" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.