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F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 37.5%

George Russell 30%

Lando Norris 11.5%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$147,612,691 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 37.5%

George Russell 30%

Lando Norris 11.5%

Max Verstappen 6.2%

Polymarket

$147,612,691 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,022,854 Vol.

37%

George Russell

$1,728,705 Vol.

30%

Lando Norris

$2,155,866 Vol.

11%

Max Verstappen

$1,976,455 Vol.

6%

Oscar Piastri

$1,765,307 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$2,824,856 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,751,658 Vol.

2%

Alexander Albon

$9,612,792 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$6,916,243 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$7,474,773 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$6,428,933 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$9,787,817 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,713,983 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$8,808,452 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10,096,814 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10,195,153 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,734,972 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,104,747 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,590,631 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,541,933 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,748,768 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$9,631,582 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship with 100 points after three consecutive victories in China, Japan, and the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, where he held off McLaren's Lando Norris for his latest pole-to-flag win, extending his edge over Mercedes teammate George Russell to 20 points at 80. This intra-team rivalry at dominant Mercedes—topping constructors' standings—fuels trader consensus, with Antonelli's qualifying and race pace edge (6-0 head-to-head so far) driving his 37.5% implied probability versus Russell's 29.5%, while Norris (11.5%) and others lurk amid a long season of 24 races, potential upgrades, reliability risks, and track-specific advantages keeping the title fight intensely competitive.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$147,612,691
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship with 100 points after three consecutive victories in China, Japan, and the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, where he held off McLaren's Lando Norris for his latest pole-to-flag win, extending his edge over Mercedes teammate George Russell to 20 points at 80. This intra-team rivalry at dominant Mercedes—topping constructors' standings—fuels trader consensus, with Antonelli's qualifying and race pace edge (6-0 head-to-head so far) driving his 37.5% implied probability versus Russell's 29.5%, while Norris (11.5%) and others lurk amid a long season of 24 races, potential upgrades, reliability risks, and track-specific advantages keeping the title fight intensely competitive.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$147,612,691
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 37%, followed by "George Russell" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $147.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.