Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship with 100 points after three consecutive victories in China, Japan, and the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, where he held off McLaren's Lando Norris for his latest pole-to-flag win, extending his edge over Mercedes teammate George Russell to 20 points at 80. This intra-team rivalry at dominant Mercedes—topping constructors' standings—fuels trader consensus, with Antonelli's qualifying and race pace edge (6-0 head-to-head so far) driving his 37.5% implied probability versus Russell's 29.5%, while Norris (11.5%) and others lurk amid a long season of 24 races, potential upgrades, reliability risks, and track-specific advantages keeping the title fight intensely competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 37.5%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.5%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$147,612,691 Vol.
$147,612,691 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
37%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
11%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 37.5%
George Russell 30%
Lando Norris 11.5%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$147,612,691 Vol.
$147,612,691 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
37%
George Russell
30%
Lando Norris
11%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship with 100 points after three consecutive victories in China, Japan, and the Miami Grand Prix on May 3, where he held off McLaren's Lando Norris for his latest pole-to-flag win, extending his edge over Mercedes teammate George Russell to 20 points at 80. This intra-team rivalry at dominant Mercedes—topping constructors' standings—fuels trader consensus, with Antonelli's qualifying and race pace edge (6-0 head-to-head so far) driving his 37.5% implied probability versus Russell's 29.5%, while Norris (11.5%) and others lurk amid a long season of 24 races, potential upgrades, reliability risks, and track-specific advantages keeping the title fight intensely competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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