The Oklahoma City Thunder hold the strongest consensus at 58.5 percent as defending champions with a deep roster anchored by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, plus an undefeated playoff run that has carried them into the Western Conference Finals. The San Antonio Spurs sit second at 22.9 percent on the strength of Victor Wembanyama’s continued growth and a regular-season record that positions them as the only realistic Western threat to an Oklahoma City repeat. New York Knicks traders price them at 14.3 percent after the Celtics’ early exit, positioning the Knicks as the clearest path to represent the East. Detroit and Cleveland remain distant long shots at 3.9 and 1.9 percent given their limited recent playoff success and roster depth relative to the top three.