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Sports·Soccer

Copa Libertadores: Winner

icon for Copa Libertadores: Winner
Sports·Soccer

Copa Libertadores: Winner

Bolívar 48.1%

Estudiantes LP 46.8%

Flamengo 44%

Boca Juniors 41.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Bolívar 48.1%

Estudiantes LP 46.8%

Flamengo 44%

Boca Juniors 41.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Bolívar

$210 Vol.

48%

Estudiantes LP

$204 Vol.

47%

Flamengo

$172 Vol.

44%

Boca Juniors

$256 Vol.

41%

Palmeiras

$209 Vol.

30%

Corinthians

$204 Vol.

28%

Rosario Central

$284 Vol.

11%

Lanús

$586 Vol.

24%

Junior

$212 Vol.

10%

LDU Quito

$309 Vol.

5%

Universidad Católica

$259 Vol.

2%

Independiente Rivadavia

$318 Vol.

26%

Universidad Central

$212 Vol.

1%

Cerro Porteño

$204 Vol.

<1%

Peñarol

$272 Vol.

48%

Santa Fe

$174 Vol.

48%

Nacional

$174 Vol.

47%

Always Ready

$199 Vol.

48%

Libertad

$174 Vol.

48%

Platense

$174 Vol.

41%

Mirassol

$174 Vol.

48%

Independiente Medellín

$208 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Midway through the Copa Libertadores group stage, trader consensus clusters tightly around 48-49% implied probabilities for frontrunners like Independiente Medellín, Estudiantes LP, Santa Fe, Libertad, Bolívar, Nacional, Mirassol, Peñarol, Always Ready, and Platense, reflecting fierce parity with top-two advancement spots still contested after Matchday 4 results. Estudiantes remains unbeaten in second place in Group A (6 points), while Independiente Medellín holds third with a game in hand (4 points); Mirassol tops Group G on 9 points after a 2-0 win over LDU Quito; Bolívar sits second in Group C (5 points) amid Independiente Rivadavia's surprise lead (10 points). Brazilian contenders Flamengo and Palmeiras advance comfortably but face pricing pressure from group draws and looming knockout volatility, altitude edges for Bolivians, and home form advantages keeping the title race wide open for any qualifier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,188
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Midway through the Copa Libertadores group stage, trader consensus clusters tightly around 48-49% implied probabilities for frontrunners like Independiente Medellín, Estudiantes LP, Santa Fe, Libertad, Bolívar, Nacional, Mirassol, Peñarol, Always Ready, and Platense, reflecting fierce parity with top-two advancement spots still contested after Matchday 4 results. Estudiantes remains unbeaten in second place in Group A (6 points), while Independiente Medellín holds third with a game in hand (4 points); Mirassol tops Group G on 9 points after a 2-0 win over LDU Quito; Bolívar sits second in Group C (5 points) amid Independiente Rivadavia's surprise lead (10 points). Brazilian contenders Flamengo and Palmeiras advance comfortably but face pricing pressure from group draws and looming knockout volatility, altitude edges for Bolivians, and home form advantages keeping the title race wide open for any qualifier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,188
End Date
Dec 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Copa Libertadores: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bolívar" at 48%, followed by "Peñarol" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Copa Libertadores: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Copa Libertadores: Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Copa Libertadores: Winner" is "Bolívar" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Peñarol" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Copa Libertadores: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.