The 2026 Liga Profesional's split Apertura-Clausura format with group stages has produced a tightly contested annual table, where Independiente Rivadavia, Argentinos Juniors, Vélez Sarsfield, Boca Juniors, and Rosario Central lead but sit just a handful of points clear of Belgrano, River Plate, Estudiantes, and others. Recent Clausura results, including Huracán's victory over River Plate that dropped the Millonarios outside the top eight in their group, plus strong showings from Instituto and Defensa y Justicia, have prevented any side from establishing clear separation. This parity across form, goal difference, and remaining fixtures drives the bunched implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on an open race for runner-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEstudiantes (RC) 94%
Belgrano 48%
Defensa y Justicia 48%
Independiente 48%
Estudiantes (RC)
94%
Belgrano
48%
Defensa y Justicia
48%
Independiente
48%
San Lorenzo
48%
Talleres (C)
48%
Tigre
48%
Vélez Sarsfield
48%
Huracán
47%
River Plate
46%
Estudiantes (LP)
43%
Argentinos Juniors
41%
Barracas Central
41%
Boca Juniors
41%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
41%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
41%
Independiente Rivadavia
41%
Instituto
41%
Lanús
41%
Newell's Old Boys
41%
Rosario Central
41%
Sarmiento (J)
41%
Unión
41%
Aldosivi
-
Atlético Tucumán
-
Banfield
-
Central Córdoba (SdE)
-
Deportivo Riestra
-
Platense
-
Racing
-
Estudiantes (RC) 94%
Belgrano 48%
Defensa y Justicia 48%
Independiente 48%
Estudiantes (RC)
94%
Belgrano
48%
Defensa y Justicia
48%
Independiente
48%
San Lorenzo
48%
Talleres (C)
48%
Tigre
48%
Vélez Sarsfield
48%
Huracán
47%
River Plate
46%
Estudiantes (LP)
43%
Argentinos Juniors
41%
Barracas Central
41%
Boca Juniors
41%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
41%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
41%
Independiente Rivadavia
41%
Instituto
41%
Lanús
41%
Newell's Old Boys
41%
Rosario Central
41%
Sarmiento (J)
41%
Unión
41%
Aldosivi
-
Atlético Tucumán
-
Banfield
-
Central Córdoba (SdE)
-
Deportivo Riestra
-
Platense
-
Racing
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Profesional (Argentina) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Profesional (Argentina); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Profesional (Argentina) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Profesional (Argentina); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Liga Profesional's split Apertura-Clausura format with group stages has produced a tightly contested annual table, where Independiente Rivadavia, Argentinos Juniors, Vélez Sarsfield, Boca Juniors, and Rosario Central lead but sit just a handful of points clear of Belgrano, River Plate, Estudiantes, and others. Recent Clausura results, including Huracán's victory over River Plate that dropped the Millonarios outside the top eight in their group, plus strong showings from Instituto and Defensa y Justicia, have prevented any side from establishing clear separation. This parity across form, goal difference, and remaining fixtures drives the bunched implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on an open race for runner-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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