Scottie Scheffler holds the highest implied probability at 13.5% as the world number one and most consistent major performer entering the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, though his season includes just one victory and mixed recent results that have tempered expectations for a career Grand Slam. The tightly bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the event's demanding setup on a historic, penal course that rewards elite ball-striking and course management over raw power, creating realistic paths for players like Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Xander Schauffele who bring strong recent major form or prior success on similar tests. No dominant favorite has emerged because the U.S. Open historically produces varied winners amid shifting conditions and the depth of the PGA Tour roster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner
PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner
Wyndham Clark 33.4%
Xander Schauffele 12.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 10.7%
Scottie Scheffler 7%
$3,402,624 交易量
$3,402,624 交易量
Wyndham Clark
33%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
Scottie Scheffler
7%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Tom Kim
4%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Sam Stevens
3%
盧德維格·阿貝格
1%
Tommy Fleetwood
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Harry Higgs
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Wyndham Clark 33.4%
Xander Schauffele 12.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 10.7%
Scottie Scheffler 7%
$3,402,624 交易量
$3,402,624 交易量
Wyndham Clark
33%
Xander Schauffele
12%
Matt Fitzpatrick
11%
Scottie Scheffler
7%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Tom Kim
4%
Sam Burns
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Sam Stevens
3%
盧德維格·阿貝格
1%
Tommy Fleetwood
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Harry Higgs
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Russell Henley
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
JT Poston
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler holds the highest implied probability at 13.5% as the world number one and most consistent major performer entering the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, though his season includes just one victory and mixed recent results that have tempered expectations for a career Grand Slam. The tightly bunched probabilities across the rest of the field stem from the event's demanding setup on a historic, penal course that rewards elite ball-striking and course management over raw power, creating realistic paths for players like Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Xander Schauffele who bring strong recent major form or prior success on similar tests. No dominant favorite has emerged because the U.S. Open historically produces varied winners amid shifting conditions and the depth of the PGA Tour roster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions