The wide-open 2027 NCAA men's basketball title market reflects a deep, balanced field entering the 2026-27 season, with Duke, Florida, and Illinois leading at 21%, 19%, and 17.5% implied probability amid strong returning cores, top recruiting classes, and transfer additions. Multiple programs feature elite frontcourts, perimeter depth, and coaching continuity that support comparable paths to deep tournament runs, while historical parity, injury risks, and bracket dynamics keep outcomes unpredictable. Lower-tier contenders like Michigan State, Iowa State, and Alabama sit near 10-10.5%, underscoring how roster health, nonconference results, and conference play will shape the eventual favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDuke 21%
Iowa State 21%
Alabama 20%
Florida 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2027
Duke
21%
Iowa State
21%
Alabama
20%
Florida
19%
Illinois
18%
Oregon
12%
VCU
12%
Providence
12%
Creighton
12%
Michigan State
11%
Michigan
10%
Virginia
10%
Tennessee
10%
USC
10%
BYU
10%
Kentucky
10%
Texas Tech
10%
Miami
10%
UCLA
10%
Vanderbilt
10%
Purdue
10%
Missouri
10%
Villanova
10%
TCU
10%
Ohio State
10%
Indiana
10%
Nebraska
10%
Kansas
10%
West Virginia
10%
Saint Louis
10%
Oklahoma
10%
Wisconsin
10%
Iowa
10%
Oklahoma State
10%
Texas A&M
10%
Georgia
10%
UConn
6%
Arizona
6%
Texas
6%
Gonzaga
6%
Houston
6%
Arkansas
6%
Louisville
6%
St. John's
6%
North Carolina
6%
Duke 21%
Iowa State 21%
Alabama 20%
Florida 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2027
Duke
$0 Vol.
21%
Iowa State
$0 Vol.
21%
Alabama
$4 Vol.
20%
Florida
$0 Vol.
19%
Illinois
$0 Vol.
18%
Oregon
$0 Vol.
12%
VCU
$0 Vol.
12%
Providence
$0 Vol.
12%
Creighton
$0 Vol.
12%
Michigan State
$0 Vol.
11%
Michigan
$0 Vol.
10%
Virginia
$0 Vol.
10%
Tennessee
$0 Vol.
10%
USC
$0 Vol.
10%
BYU
$0 Vol.
10%
Kentucky
$0 Vol.
10%
Texas Tech
$0 Vol.
10%
Miami
$0 Vol.
10%
UCLA
$0 Vol.
10%
Vanderbilt
$0 Vol.
10%
Purdue
$0 Vol.
10%
Missouri
$0 Vol.
10%
Villanova
$0 Vol.
10%
TCU
$0 Vol.
10%
Ohio State
$0 Vol.
10%
Indiana
$0 Vol.
10%
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
10%
Kansas
$0 Vol.
10%
West Virginia
$0 Vol.
10%
Saint Louis
$0 Vol.
10%
Oklahoma
$0 Vol.
10%
Wisconsin
$0 Vol.
10%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
10%
Oklahoma State
$0 Vol.
10%
Texas A&M
$0 Vol.
10%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
10%
UConn
$0 Vol.
6%
Arizona
$0 Vol.
6%
Texas
$0 Vol.
6%
Gonzaga
$0 Vol.
6%
Houston
$0 Vol.
6%
Arkansas
$0 Vol.
6%
Louisville
$0 Vol.
6%
St. John's
$0 Vol.
6%
North Carolina
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion).
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide-open 2027 NCAA men's basketball title market reflects a deep, balanced field entering the 2026-27 season, with Duke, Florida, and Illinois leading at 21%, 19%, and 17.5% implied probability amid strong returning cores, top recruiting classes, and transfer additions. Multiple programs feature elite frontcourts, perimeter depth, and coaching continuity that support comparable paths to deep tournament runs, while historical parity, injury risks, and bracket dynamics keep outcomes unpredictable. Lower-tier contenders like Michigan State, Iowa State, and Alabama sit near 10-10.5%, underscoring how roster health, nonconference results, and conference play will shape the eventual favorite.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion).
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$4End Date
Apr 5, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ncaa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion).
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide-open 2027 NCAA men's basketball title market reflects a deep, balanced field entering the 2026-27 season, with Duke, Florida, and Illinois leading at 21%, 19%, and 17.5% implied probability amid strong returning cores, top recruiting classes, and transfer additions. Multiple programs feature elite frontcourts, perimeter depth, and coaching continuity that support comparable paths to deep tournament runs, while historical parity, injury risks, and bracket dynamics keep outcomes unpredictable. Lower-tier contenders like Michigan State, Iowa State, and Alabama sit near 10-10.5%, underscoring how roster health, nonconference results, and conference play will shape the eventual favorite.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion).
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4End Date
Apr 5, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ncaa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2027 NCAA men's basketball title market reflects a deep, balanced field entering the 2026-27 season, with Duke, Florida, and Illinois leading at 21%, 19%, and 17.5% implied probability amid strong returning cores, top recruiting classes, and transfer additions. Multiple programs feature elite frontcourts, perimeter depth, and coaching continuity that support comparable paths to deep tournament runs, while historical parity, injury risks, and bracket dynamics keep outcomes unpredictable. Lower-tier contenders like Michigan State, Iowa State, and Alabama sit near 10-10.5%, underscoring how roster health, nonconference results, and conference play will shape the eventual favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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