The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand remains tightly contested among the top seeds following August lineup confirmations. The United States leads the average rating list at 2751 despite Hikaru Nakamura's absence, ahead of defending champion India at 2733 and host Uzbekistan at 2720, with China and Germany close behind. These four teams show minimal separation in playing strength, board depth, and recent form. India's experienced core and Uzbekistan's home advantage offset the U.S. edge on paper, while a July rapid-blitz match victory by the Americans over the hosts offered little predictive clarity for the 11-round classical team format. Lower-rated contenders like Armenia and Germany add further parity in the middle of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIndia 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
4%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Georgia
3%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Poland
3%
Spain
3%
Hungary
3%
France
3%
Vietnam
2%
England
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Turkiye
2%
Serbia
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
4%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Georgia
3%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Poland
3%
Spain
3%
Hungary
3%
France
3%
Vietnam
2%
England
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Turkiye
2%
Serbia
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand remains tightly contested among the top seeds following August lineup confirmations. The United States leads the average rating list at 2751 despite Hikaru Nakamura's absence, ahead of defending champion India at 2733 and host Uzbekistan at 2720, with China and Germany close behind. These four teams show minimal separation in playing strength, board depth, and recent form. India's experienced core and Uzbekistan's home advantage offset the U.S. edge on paper, while a July rapid-blitz match victory by the Americans over the hosts offered little predictive clarity for the 11-round classical team format. Lower-rated contenders like Armenia and Germany add further parity in the middle of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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