Raphael Collignon holds a substantial edge over wild-card Sebastian Gorzny in this US Open first-round matchup on outdoor hard courts, driven by his ATP ranking near No. 38 and career-high of No. 37 after reaching the Gstaad final earlier in 2026. Collignon owns far greater tour-level experience, a stronger recent win rate on hard courts, and superior serve and return metrics, while Gorzny, a 22-year-old American transitioning from college tennis, enters with limited professional results and a ranking outside the top 700. No prior head-to-head exists, but the Belgian’s consistency in pressure situations and recent hard-court preparation contrast with Gorzny’s shorter turnaround from qualifier events. The surface favors the higher-ranked player’s established game, though first-round Grand Slam conditions and potential fatigue from Collignon’s schedule remain variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Sebastian Gorzny – Raphael Collignon
Moneyline
$439K Vol.
Game Spread
$116 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Raphael Collignon.
This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Sebastian Gorzny.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Sebastian Gorzny – Raphael Collignon
Moneyline
$439K Vol.
Game Spread
$116 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Raphael Collignon.
This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Sebastian Gorzny.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Raphael Collignon holds a substantial edge over wild-card Sebastian Gorzny in this US Open first-round matchup on outdoor hard courts, driven by his ATP ranking near No. 38 and career-high of No. 37 after reaching the Gstaad final earlier in 2026. Collignon owns far greater tour-level experience, a stronger recent win rate on hard courts, and superior serve and return metrics, while Gorzny, a 22-year-old American transitioning from college tennis, enters with limited professional results and a ranking outside the top 700. No prior head-to-head exists, but the Belgian’s consistency in pressure situations and recent hard-court preparation contrast with Gorzny’s shorter turnaround from qualifier events. The surface favors the higher-ranked player’s established game, though first-round Grand Slam conditions and potential fatigue from Collignon’s schedule remain variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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