Sebastian Baez enters the Winston-Salem Open second round as the clear favorite against lucky loser Hugo Grenier, with traders pricing the No. 50-ranked Argentine at roughly 80-85% implied probability on hard courts. Baez owns the 2023 title here and holds a 15-7 hard-court record in 2026, though his broader main-draw hard results remain negative. Grenier, ranked 255th, arrives with strong momentum after three qualifying wins plus a first-round victory over Roman Safiullin featuring 14 aces, yet faces zero rest days against an opponent with more recovery time. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving serve effectiveness, break-point conversion, and Grenier’s ability to sustain aggression as the primary variables that could narrow the gap in this ATP 250 matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
NFL
MLB
UFC
All
Premier League
LaLiga
Bundesliga
Serie A
UEFA Champions League
K League 1
Club Friendlies
MLS
K League 2
Eliteserien
Copa Sudamericana
UEFA Conference League
Categoría Primera A
Leagues Cup
Allsvenskan
Ligue 1
Australia Cup
Brasileirão Série B
Uruguayan Primera División
Chinese Super League
Brasileirão Série A
Copa do Brasil
Liga MX
OBOS-ligaen
UEFA Women's Champions League
UEFA Europa League
ASEAN Championship
Primeira Liga
J2 League
Primera Nacional
Saudi Pro League
USL League One
Uzbekistan Super League
DFB-Pokal
USL Championship
Ekstraklasa
Eredivisie
Scottish Premiership
Liga de Primera
League of Ireland Premier Division
Kazakhstan Premier League
efbet Liga
Danish Superliga
South Africa Premiership
EFL Championship
Superettan
China League One
Ukrainian Premier League
J1 League
SuperLiga
Egyptian Premier League
Categoría Primera B
Veikkausliiga
Virslīga
Primera B (Chile)
Bolivian Primera División
ÖFB Cup
Scotland League Cup
NWSL
Austria Bundesliga
Niké liga
Belgium Pro League
Süper Lig
Premium Liiga
2. Bundesliga
Serbian SuperLiga
Slovenia PrvaLiga
Brasileirão Série C
Besta deild karla
Ligue 2
National League
LaLiga2
Liga Nacional de Guatemala
NB I
Swiss Super League
LigaPro Serie A
League Two
A Lyga
Chance Liga
League One
Copa Argentina
Israeli Premier League
Greece Super League
Liga 1
TFF Süper Kupa
Eerste Divisie
Serie B
Qatar Stars League
Prva Liga
Liga FPD
UAE Pro League
Taça de Portugal
Challenger Pro League
Coppa Italia
Erovnuli Liga
A-League Men
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
EFL CUP
Greek Cup
KNVB Beker
Turkey 1. Lig
Copa Libertadores
Venezuelan Primera División
Betri deildin
Hockey
Volleyball
Cycling
Poker
Chess
Pickleball
Esports
Hugo Grenier – Sebastian Baez
Moneyline
$590K Vol.
Game Spread
$211 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hugo Grenier.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Hugo Grenier – Sebastian Baez
Moneyline
$590K Vol.
Game Spread
$211 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hugo Grenier.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Sebastian Baez enters the Winston-Salem Open second round as the clear favorite against lucky loser Hugo Grenier, with traders pricing the No. 50-ranked Argentine at roughly 80-85% implied probability on hard courts. Baez owns the 2023 title here and holds a 15-7 hard-court record in 2026, though his broader main-draw hard results remain negative. Grenier, ranked 255th, arrives with strong momentum after three qualifying wins plus a first-round victory over Roman Safiullin featuring 14 aces, yet faces zero rest days against an opponent with more recovery time. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving serve effectiveness, break-point conversion, and Grenier’s ability to sustain aggression as the primary variables that could narrow the gap in this ATP 250 matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions