Alex de Minaur enters the US Open first-round matchup as a heavy favorite against qualifier Andrea Guerrieri due to his status as the world No. 7 and consistent hard-court performer, while the Italian has climbed from outside the top 500 to No. 187 in 2026. Guerrieri earned his first Grand Slam main-draw berth by sweeping through qualifiers with wins over players like August Holmgren and Aziz Dougaz, showcasing improved form on the Challenger circuit. De Minaur, recently married and returning with renewed focus after modest results on the American hard-court swing, brings superior ranking, experience in best-of-five sets, and a game built for Flushing Meadows pace. The surface and experience gap reinforce trader consensus on the seeded Australian’s dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Andrea Guerrieri – Alex de Minaur
Moneyline
$68 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Alex de Minaur.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrea Guerrieri.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrea Guerrieri – Alex de Minaur
Moneyline
$68 Vol.
Game Spread
$0 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Alex de Minaur.
This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrea Guerrieri.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Alex de Minaur enters the US Open first-round matchup as a heavy favorite against qualifier Andrea Guerrieri due to his status as the world No. 7 and consistent hard-court performer, while the Italian has climbed from outside the top 500 to No. 187 in 2026. Guerrieri earned his first Grand Slam main-draw berth by sweeping through qualifiers with wins over players like August Holmgren and Aziz Dougaz, showcasing improved form on the Challenger circuit. De Minaur, recently married and returning with renewed focus after modest results on the American hard-court swing, brings superior ranking, experience in best-of-five sets, and a game built for Flushing Meadows pace. The surface and experience gap reinforce trader consensus on the seeded Australian’s dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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