**Chapecoense and Remo occupy the bottom two spots with 18 and 23 points respectively after 27-28 matches, carrying relegation probabilities above 94% according to UFMG projections.** Internacional (28 points) and Grêmio (29 points) sit inside or on the edge of the Z-4, with risks of 69% and 58%. Corinthians (32 points) saw their probability rise to 21% following a sixth straight defeat. Vasco da Gama climbed clear with a 5-0 win over Coritiba, while Mirassol and Vitória remain in the mix around 13-18% risk. With roughly ten rounds left in the 38-match season, recent results and form in the lower table continue to shape trader views on the four teams likely to drop to Série B.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,209 Vol.
Chapecoense
82%
Remo
92%
Corinthians
26%
Grêmio
45%
Mirassol
35%
Coritiba
26%
Botafogo
24%
Atlético Mineiro
23%
Vitória
18%
Red Bull Bragantino
13%
Santos
12%
São Paulo
12%
Bahia
4%
Cruzeiro
4%
Athletico Paranaense
3%
Fluminense
3%
Flamengo
3%
Palmeiras
2%
Vasco da Gama
36%
Internacional
70%
$11,209 Vol.
Chapecoense
82%
Remo
92%
Corinthians
26%
Grêmio
45%
Mirassol
35%
Coritiba
26%
Botafogo
24%
Atlético Mineiro
23%
Vitória
18%
Red Bull Bragantino
13%
Santos
12%
São Paulo
12%
Bahia
4%
Cruzeiro
4%
Athletico Paranaense
3%
Fluminense
3%
Flamengo
3%
Palmeiras
2%
Vasco da Gama
36%
Internacional
70%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Brazil Série A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Brazil Série A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Brazil Série A.
If the 2026 Brazil Série A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Brazil Série A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Brazil Série A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Brazil Série A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Brazil Série A.
If the 2026 Brazil Série A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Brazil Série A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Chapecoense and Remo occupy the bottom two spots with 18 and 23 points respectively after 27-28 matches, carrying relegation probabilities above 94% according to UFMG projections.** Internacional (28 points) and Grêmio (29 points) sit inside or on the edge of the Z-4, with risks of 69% and 58%. Corinthians (32 points) saw their probability rise to 21% following a sixth straight defeat. Vasco da Gama climbed clear with a 5-0 win over Coritiba, while Mirassol and Vitória remain in the mix around 13-18% risk. With roughly ten rounds left in the 38-match season, recent results and form in the lower table continue to shape trader views on the four teams likely to drop to Série B.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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