Claudia Sheinbaum continues her term with Morena holding congressional supermajorities that facilitate legislative control and limit opposition leverage. Approval ratings have fluctuated between roughly 53% and 70% amid corruption scandals, cartel-related violence spikes in states like Sinaloa and Chihuahua, and U.S. indictments of party allies that have strained bilateral ties and prompted sovereignty disputes. Economic pressures including slow growth and inflation have contributed to modest declines, yet no credible impeachment, resignation, or succession triggers have materialized. Traders price near-zero near-term removal odds because institutional barriers remain high, public support stays resilient relative to predecessors, and scheduled events such as the 2026 World Cup co-hosting and electoral reforms have not altered continuity expectations.