Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Music Video of the Year betting at 66.5% implied probability after nominations on September 10 revealed her nine total nods, including this category, far outpacing peers. The cinematic video, co-directed by Langley herself with strong industry support from co-writer and producer Miranda Lambert, benefits from the song’s record-breaking chart run and cross-genre appeal. Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sits at 20.5% as a respected but less dominant entry, while Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” Chris Stapleton’s “White Horse,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trail below 10% each. Traders are pricing in Langley’s current momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony, though guild and academy voting patterns can still produce late shifts in this competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Music Video of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 66%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 21%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 9.2%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 4.1%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
66%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
21%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton)
9%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
4%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 66%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 21%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 9.2%
The Fall (Cody Johnson) 4.1%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
66%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
21%
White Horse (Chris Stapleton)
9%
The Fall (Cody Johnson)
4%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year.
If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Music Video of the Year betting at 66.5% implied probability after nominations on September 10 revealed her nine total nods, including this category, far outpacing peers. The cinematic video, co-directed by Langley herself with strong industry support from co-writer and producer Miranda Lambert, benefits from the song’s record-breaking chart run and cross-genre appeal. Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” sits at 20.5% as a respected but less dominant entry, while Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” Chris Stapleton’s “White Horse,” and Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trail below 10% each. Traders are pricing in Langley’s current momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony, though guild and academy voting patterns can still produce late shifts in this competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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