Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” dominates trader sentiment for CMA Song of the Year 2026 at 77% implied probability following its September 10 nomination announcement and sustained commercial dominance. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert, topped Billboard’s Hot Country Songs for a record 28 weeks by mid-2026, earned Song of the Summer honors, and secured ACM Song and Single of the Year earlier, building on Langley’s back-to-back Single of the Year wins and her leading nine CMA nods overall. Its crossover Hot 100 success and live resonance at CMA Fest have reinforced voter momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Lower-priced contenders like Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” (15%), Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things” (5%), Langley’s own “Be Her” (4.5%), and Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell” (4%) reflect solid but secondary chart and critical traction without matching “Choosin’ Texas”’s year-long narrative.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCMA Song of the Year 2026
CMA Song of the Year 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 76%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 15%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
76%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
15%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 76%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 15%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 18, 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$2,514 Vol.
76%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
$497 Vol.
15%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$60 Vol.
5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
$60 Vol.
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
$41 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” dominates trader sentiment for CMA Song of the Year 2026 at 77% implied probability following its September 10 nomination announcement and sustained commercial dominance. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert, topped Billboard’s Hot Country Songs for a record 28 weeks by mid-2026, earned Song of the Summer honors, and secured ACM Song and Single of the Year earlier, building on Langley’s back-to-back Single of the Year wins and her leading nine CMA nods overall. Its crossover Hot 100 success and live resonance at CMA Fest have reinforced voter momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Lower-priced contenders like Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” (15%), Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things” (5%), Langley’s own “Be Her” (4.5%), and Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell” (4%) reflect solid but secondary chart and critical traction without matching “Choosin’ Texas”’s year-long narrative.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$3,172End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” dominates trader sentiment for CMA Song of the Year 2026 at 77% implied probability following its September 10 nomination announcement and sustained commercial dominance. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert, topped Billboard’s Hot Country Songs for a record 28 weeks by mid-2026, earned Song of the Summer honors, and secured ACM Song and Single of the Year earlier, building on Langley’s back-to-back Single of the Year wins and her leading nine CMA nods overall. Its crossover Hot 100 success and live resonance at CMA Fest have reinforced voter momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Lower-priced contenders like Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” (15%), Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things” (5%), Langley’s own “Be Her” (4.5%), and Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell” (4%) reflect solid but secondary chart and critical traction without matching “Choosin’ Texas”’s year-long narrative.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,172End Date
Nov 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” dominates trader sentiment for CMA Song of the Year 2026 at 77% implied probability following its September 10 nomination announcement and sustained commercial dominance. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert, topped Billboard’s Hot Country Songs for a record 28 weeks by mid-2026, earned Song of the Summer honors, and secured ACM Song and Single of the Year earlier, building on Langley’s back-to-back Single of the Year wins and her leading nine CMA nods overall. Its crossover Hot 100 success and live resonance at CMA Fest have reinforced voter momentum ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Lower-priced contenders like Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary” (15%), Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things” (5%), Langley’s own “Be Her” (4.5%), and Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell” (4%) reflect solid but secondary chart and critical traction without matching “Choosin’ Texas”’s year-long narrative.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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