The closely bunched implied probabilities around 50% for the United States and numerous CONCACAF sides reflect the open nature of the 2027 Gold Cup field following Mexico’s 2-1 victory over the USMNT in the 2025 final. Mexico’s record tenth title and recent Nations League results sustain its 35% pricing, while lower-ranked nations like Jamaica, Panama, and Costa Rica trade in the mid-teens to low-20s on the strength of consistent regional form and Nations League qualification pathways. Saudi Arabia’s confirmed return as guest nation adds another variable. Trader consensus prices in the competitive qualification structure, historical rivalry dynamics between the top two sides, and the absence of a clear dominant roster heading into 2027 cycle matches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMartinique 39.3%
Nicaragua 39%
Costa Rica 24.3%
United States 18%
Martinique
39%
Nicaragua
39%
Costa Rica
24%
United States
18%
Canada
18%
Suriname
18%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Jamaica
8%
Panama
6%
Honduras
6%
Curacao
5%
Dominican Republic
5%
Haiti
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
El Salvador
4%
Guatemala
4%
Mexico
34%
Martinique 39.3%
Nicaragua 39%
Costa Rica 24.3%
United States 18%
Martinique
39%
Nicaragua
39%
Costa Rica
24%
United States
18%
Canada
18%
Suriname
18%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Jamaica
8%
Panama
6%
Honduras
6%
Curacao
5%
Dominican Republic
5%
Haiti
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
El Salvador
4%
Guatemala
4%
Mexico
34%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities around 50% for the United States and numerous CONCACAF sides reflect the open nature of the 2027 Gold Cup field following Mexico’s 2-1 victory over the USMNT in the 2025 final. Mexico’s record tenth title and recent Nations League results sustain its 35% pricing, while lower-ranked nations like Jamaica, Panama, and Costa Rica trade in the mid-teens to low-20s on the strength of consistent regional form and Nations League qualification pathways. Saudi Arabia’s confirmed return as guest nation adds another variable. Trader consensus prices in the competitive qualification structure, historical rivalry dynamics between the top two sides, and the absence of a clear dominant roster heading into 2027 cycle matches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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