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icon for DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

icon for DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

Adrian Otaegui 100%

Andres Gallegos 100%

Albin Bergstroem 97%

Ashun Wu 97%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Otaegui 100%

Andres Gallegos 100%

Albin Bergstroem 97%

Ashun Wu 97%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Otaegui

$0 Vol.

100%

Andres Gallegos

$0 Vol.

100%

Albin Bergstroem

$0 Vol.

97%

Ashun Wu

$0 Vol.

97%

Adrian Meronk

$0 Vol.

95%

Adrien Saddier

$0 Vol.

95%

Andreas Halvorsen

$0 Vol.

95%

Angel Hidalgo

$0 Vol.

95%

Antoine Rozner

$0 Vol.

95%

Benjamin Follett-Smith

$0 Vol.

95%

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

$0 Vol.

95%

Cameron Adam

$0 Vol.

95%

Adria Arnaus

$0 Vol.

94%

Benjamin Hebert

$0 Vol.

94%

Callum Tarren

$0 Vol.

94%

Calum Hill

$0 Vol.

94%

Angel Ayora

$0 Vol.

92%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

92%

Alexander Levy

$0 Vol.

91%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

91%

Ben Schmidt

$0 Vol.

90%

Brandon Stone

$0 Vol.

90%

Clement Charmasson

$0 Vol.

90%

Connor McKinney

$0 Vol.

90%

Andy Sullivan

$0 Vol.

88%

Cohen Trolio

$0 Vol.

88%

Martin Couvra

$0 Vol.

88%

Nathan Kimsey

$0 Vol.

86%

Anthony Quayle

$0 Vol.

83%

Daniel van Tonder

$0 Vol.

81%

Joost Luiten

$0 Vol.

74%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

$0 Vol.

72%

Johannes Veerman

$0 Vol.

72%

Joel Girrbach

$0 Vol.

71%

Filippo Celli

$0 Vol.

69%

Ewen Ferguson

$0 Vol.

67%

Jeff Winther

$0 Vol.

67%

Joseph Dean

$0 Vol.

67%

Daniel Bradbury

$0 Vol.

66%

Francesco Laporta

$0 Vol.

66%

Freddy Schott

$0 Vol.

64%

Guido Migliozzi

$0 Vol.

64%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

$0 Vol.

64%

Daniel Young

$130 Vol.

63%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

63%

Matteo Manassero

$0 Vol.

63%

Manuel Elvira

$0 Vol.

62%

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

62%

Julien Sale

$0 Vol.

61%

Matthew Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

61%

Daniel Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

60%

Frederic Lacroix

$0 Vol.

60%

Kazuma Kobori

$0 Vol.

60%

Ludvig Aaberg

$0 Vol.

60%

Marcus Armitage

$0 Vol.

60%

Marcus Kinhult

$0 Vol.

60%

Matthieu Pavon

$0 Vol.

60%

Dylan Naidoo

$130 Vol.

1%

Kota Kaneko

$130 Vol.

1%

Daniel Gavins

$130 Vol.

-

Darius van Driel

$130 Vol.

26%

David Law

$130 Vol.

-

David Micheluzzi

$130 Vol.

-

David Ravetto

$130 Vol.

-

Eddie Pepperell

$130 Vol.

-

Edoardo Molinari

$130 Vol.

-

Elvis Smylie

$130 Vol.

-

Euan Walker

$130 Vol.

-

Fabrizio Zanotti

$130 Vol.

-

Felix Mory

$130 Vol.

-

Frankie Capan

$130 Vol.

-

Frederico Biondi

$130 Vol.

-

Grant Forrest

$130 Vol.

-

Gregorio De Leo

$130 Vol.

-

Hennie Du Plessis

$130 Vol.

-

Hugo Townsend

$130 Vol.

-

Ignacio Elvira

$130 Vol.

-

Ivan Cantero

$130 Vol.

-

Jack Buchanan

$130 Vol.

-

Jack Senior

$130 Vol.

-

Jack Yule

$130 Vol.

-

James Morrison

$130 Vol.

-

Jason Scrivener

$130 Vol.

-

Jens Dantorp

$130 Vol.

-

Jeong-Weon Ko

$130 Vol.

-

Jeremy Paul

$130 Vol.

-

Jordan Gumberg

$130 Vol.

-

Joshua Berry

$130 Vol.

-

Julien Guerrier

$130 Vol.

-

Jung-Hwan Lee

$130 Vol.

-

Marcel Siem

$130 Vol.

-

Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon

$130 Vol.

-

Matthew Baldwin

$130 Vol.

-

Maxime Legros

$130 Vol.

-

Maximilian Kieffer

$130 Vol.

-

Maximilian Steinlechner

$130 Vol.

-

Michael Mjaaseth

$130 Vol.

-

Mike Toorop

$130 Vol.

-

Nicolai von Dellingshausen

$130 Vol.

-

Niklas Lemke

$130 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The Open de France first round leader market shows tight clustering among dozens of DP World Tour players because the field lacks a clear standout based on recent form or course history at the venue. Comparable implied probabilities near 45-50% for names like Adrian Otaegui and Andres Gallegos reflect balanced tee-time advantages, similar recent scoring averages, and variable conditions that reward steady ball-striking over any single hot streak. Historical patterns at French events favor consistent mid-tier performers rather than top-ranked outliers, while factors such as wind exposure, pin placements, and opening-round pace keep outcomes evenly distributed across the leaderboard. This parity underscores the event's inherent unpredictability for any one player to post the lowest Thursday score.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$5,720
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The Open de France first round leader market shows tight clustering among dozens of DP World Tour players because the field lacks a clear standout based on recent form or course history at the venue. Comparable implied probabilities near 45-50% for names like Adrian Otaegui and Andres Gallegos reflect balanced tee-time advantages, similar recent scoring averages, and variable conditions that reward steady ball-striking over any single hot streak. Historical patterns at French events favor consistent mid-tier performers rather than top-ranked outliers, while factors such as wind exposure, pin placements, and opening-round pace keep outcomes evenly distributed across the leaderboard. This parity underscores the event's inherent unpredictability for any one player to post the lowest Thursday score.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$5,720
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adrian Otaegui" at 50%, followed by "Andres Gallegos" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is "Adrian Otaegui" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andres Gallegos" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.