Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 20?
Highest temperature in London on May 20?
17°C <1%
$135,465 Wol.
$135,465 Wol.
May 20, 2026
17°C
<1%
17°C <1%
$135,465 Wol.
$135,465 Wol.
May 20, 2026
17°C
$5,088 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$135,465Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$135,465Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm a daily maximum temperature of 20°C across London monitoring stations on May 20, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100% for that exact outcome. This reading stems from stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow that limited daytime warming to near the long-term May average of 18–20°C for the region. Forecast models issued 24–48 hours earlier had converged on similar values, reducing uncertainty ahead of the observation window. While post-event quality checks at stations like Heathrow or St James’s Park could theoretically adjust the figure by a fraction of a degree, shifts large enough to alter resolution thresholds remain statistically rare.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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