Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C 14%
37°C 11.8%
NOUVEAU
$11,232 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,232 Vol.
18 juin 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
14%
35°C
41%
36°C
30%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C 14%
37°C 11.8%
NOUVEAU
$11,232 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,232 Vol.
18 juin 2026
30°C or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,669 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,513 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2,350 Vol.
14%
35°C
$1,009 Vol.
41%
36°C
$1,050 Vol.
30%
37°C
$1,053 Vol.
12%
38°C
$387 Vol.
1%
39°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,232Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,232Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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