Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日の深センの最高気温は？
6月27日の深センの最高気温は？
30°C 31%
31°C 25%
32℃ 21%
29℃ 17%
新規
$51,743 Vol.
新規
$51,743 Vol.
2026/06/27
25°C以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29℃
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
25%
32℃
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35℃以上
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 25%
32℃ 21%
29℃ 17%
新規
$51,743 Vol.
新規
$51,743 Vol.
2026/06/27
25°C以下
$7,372 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,637 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,122 Vol.
7%
29℃
$2,246 Vol.
17%
30°C
$5,052 Vol.
31%
31°C
$2,214 Vol.
25%
32℃
$3,814 Vol.
21%
33°C
$4,139 Vol.
7%
34°C
$2,689 Vol.
1%
35℃以上
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$51,743終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$51,743終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 27 will likely reach 30–31 °C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors subsidence and warming but is tempered by abundant low-level moisture from the South China Sea. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in the region during the East Asian monsoon transition, introduce the main uncertainty by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer mixing add further variability to the precise high, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around these two outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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