Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न