Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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