Recent stronger-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus forecasts near 85,000—have underscored labor market resilience, with unemployment holding at 4.3 percent and broad-based gains in key sectors. This data, alongside an ADP private employment reading of 122,000, has prompted analysts to revise growth outlooks upward and shift Federal Reserve rate expectations, including delayed or absent 2026 cuts. With the June report due July 2, traders price nearly identical implied probabilities across ranges from sub-zero to above 200,000 additions, reflecting uncertainty over whether momentum will moderate amid cooling indicators or persist. Market-implied odds thus capture competing views on seasonal factors, wage pressures, and policy implications without a dominant consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于20万+ 46%
<0 45%
0 – 5万 43%
5万 – 10万 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
<0
45%
0 – 5万
43%
5万 – 10万
43%
10万 – 15万
44%
15万 – 20万
41%
20万+
46%
20万+ 46%
<0 45%
0 – 5万 43%
5万 – 10万 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
<0
$36 交易量
45%
0 – 5万
$0 交易量
43%
5万 – 10万
$0 交易量
43%
10万 – 15万
$33 交易量
44%
15万 – 20万
$0 交易量
41%
20万+
$0 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent stronger-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus forecasts near 85,000—have underscored labor market resilience, with unemployment holding at 4.3 percent and broad-based gains in key sectors. This data, alongside an ADP private employment reading of 122,000, has prompted analysts to revise growth outlooks upward and shift Federal Reserve rate expectations, including delayed or absent 2026 cuts. With the June report due July 2, traders price nearly identical implied probabilities across ranges from sub-zero to above 200,000 additions, reflecting uncertainty over whether momentum will moderate amid cooling indicators or persist. Market-implied odds thus capture competing views on seasonal factors, wage pressures, and policy implications without a dominant consensus.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent stronger-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus forecasts near 85,000—have underscored labor market resilience, with unemployment holding at 4.3 percent and broad-based gains in key sectors. This data, alongside an ADP private employment reading of 122,000, has prompted analysts to revise growth outlooks upward and shift Federal Reserve rate expectations, including delayed or absent 2026 cuts. With the June report due July 2, traders price nearly identical implied probabilities across ranges from sub-zero to above 200,000 additions, reflecting uncertainty over whether momentum will moderate amid cooling indicators or persist. Market-implied odds thus capture competing views on seasonal factors, wage pressures, and policy implications without a dominant consensus.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stronger-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus forecasts near 85,000—have underscored labor market resilience, with unemployment holding at 4.3 percent and broad-based gains in key sectors. This data, alongside an ADP private employment reading of 122,000, has prompted analysts to revise growth outlooks upward and shift Federal Reserve rate expectations, including delayed or absent 2026 cuts. With the June report due July 2, traders price nearly identical implied probabilities across ranges from sub-zero to above 200,000 additions, reflecting uncertainty over whether momentum will moderate amid cooling indicators or persist. Market-implied odds thus capture competing views on seasonal factors, wage pressures, and policy implications without a dominant consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题