Recent May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs, well above consensus forecasts near 85,000 and following an upwardly revised April gain, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. This resilience in the labor market underpins the narrow spread in implied probabilities across June job-addition ranges, where traders weigh ongoing strength in sectors like leisure, hospitality, and health care against signs of gradual cooling and lower breakeven employment thresholds. Mixed leading indicators, including subdued hires and elevated long-term unemployment, contribute to the competitive dynamics, leaving outcomes from negative prints through 200,000-plus roughly equally contested ahead of the July 2 release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessments of these crosscurrents rather than any single data point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<0 45%
20万+ 45%
5万 – 10万 43%
15万 – 20万 42%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
<0
45%
0 – 5万
41%
5万 – 10万
43%
10万 – 15万
44%
15万 – 20万
42%
20万+
45%
<0 45%
20万+ 45%
5万 – 10万 43%
15万 – 20万 42%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
<0
$36 交易量
45%
0 – 5万
$0 交易量
41%
5万 – 10万
$0 交易量
43%
10万 – 15万
$33 交易量
44%
15万 – 20万
$0 交易量
42%
20万+
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs, well above consensus forecasts near 85,000 and following an upwardly revised April gain, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. This resilience in the labor market underpins the narrow spread in implied probabilities across June job-addition ranges, where traders weigh ongoing strength in sectors like leisure, hospitality, and health care against signs of gradual cooling and lower breakeven employment thresholds. Mixed leading indicators, including subdued hires and elevated long-term unemployment, contribute to the competitive dynamics, leaving outcomes from negative prints through 200,000-plus roughly equally contested ahead of the July 2 release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessments of these crosscurrents rather than any single data point.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs, well above consensus forecasts near 85,000 and following an upwardly revised April gain, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. This resilience in the labor market underpins the narrow spread in implied probabilities across June job-addition ranges, where traders weigh ongoing strength in sectors like leisure, hospitality, and health care against signs of gradual cooling and lower breakeven employment thresholds. Mixed leading indicators, including subdued hires and elevated long-term unemployment, contribute to the competitive dynamics, leaving outcomes from negative prints through 200,000-plus roughly equally contested ahead of the July 2 release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessments of these crosscurrents rather than any single data point.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$68结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs, well above consensus forecasts near 85,000 and following an upwardly revised April gain, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. This resilience in the labor market underpins the narrow spread in implied probabilities across June job-addition ranges, where traders weigh ongoing strength in sectors like leisure, hospitality, and health care against signs of gradual cooling and lower breakeven employment thresholds. Mixed leading indicators, including subdued hires and elevated long-term unemployment, contribute to the competitive dynamics, leaving outcomes from negative prints through 200,000-plus roughly equally contested ahead of the July 2 release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessments of these crosscurrents rather than any single data point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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