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icon for IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position
Sports·Games

IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position

icon for IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position
Sports·Games

IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position

Scott McLaughlin 99%

Alex Palou 19%

Christian Lundgaard 19%

Kyle Kirkwood 19%

Polymarket

$220 Vol.

Scott McLaughlin 99%

Alex Palou 19%

Christian Lundgaard 19%

Kyle Kirkwood 19%

Polymarket

$220 Vol.

Alex Palou

$0 Vol.

No

Scott McLaughlin

$220 Vol.

Yes

Christian Lundgaard

$0 Vol.

No

Kyle Kirkwood

$0 Vol.

No

Patricio O'Ward

$0 Vol.

No

Marcus Ericsson

$0 Vol.

No

Josef Newgarden

$0 Vol.

No

Romain Grosjean

$0 Vol.

No

Rinus Veekay

$0 Vol.

No

Marcus Armstrong

$0 Vol.

No

Felix Rosenqvist

$0 Vol.

No

David Malukas

$0 Vol.

No

Louis Foster

$0 Vol.

No

Kyffin Simpson

$0 Vol.

No

Alexander Rossi

$0 Vol.

No

Graham Rahal

$0 Vol.

No

Christian Rasmussen

$0 Vol.

No

Nolan Siegel

$0 Vol.

No

Sting Robb

$0 Vol.

No

Will Power

$0 Vol.

No

Scott Dixon

$0 Vol.

No

Santino Ferrucci

$0 Vol.

No

Mick Schumacher

$0 Vol.

No

Caio Collet

$0 Vol.

No

Dennis Hauger

$0 Vol.

No

Jacob Abel

$0 Vol.

No

Ed Carpenter

$0 Vol.

No

Helio Castroneves

$0 Vol.

No

Conor Daly

$0 Vol.

No

Jack Harvey

$0 Vol.

No

Ryan Hunter-Reay

$0 Vol.

No

Katherine Legge

$0 Vol.

No

Takuma Sato

$0 Vol.

No

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Scott McLaughlin’s 51.5% implied probability reflects his dominant late-session pace in qualifying at WeatherTech Raceway Laguna Seca, where he posted the fastest lap of 1:09.136 in the Firestone Fast Six to edge Alex Palou by 0.0177 seconds. Strong practice form for the No. 3 Team Penske Chevrolet, combined with McLaughlin’s road-course expertise and the team’s recent momentum, positioned him as the clear leader in trader consensus. Palou’s historical strength at the track and multiple prior poles created initial support for the Chip Ganassi driver, yet McLaughlin’s final flyer shifted sentiment decisively. The tight cluster around 9.5% for the remaining field, including Pato O’Ward and others eliminated early from group stages, underscores the depth of competition on this technical 11-turn layout while highlighting McLaughlin’s decisive edge in the closing moments.

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$220
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.indycar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Scott McLaughlin’s 51.5% implied probability reflects his dominant late-session pace in qualifying at WeatherTech Raceway Laguna Seca, where he posted the fastest lap of 1:09.136 in the Firestone Fast Six to edge Alex Palou by 0.0177 seconds. Strong practice form for the No. 3 Team Penske Chevrolet, combined with McLaughlin’s road-course expertise and the team’s recent momentum, positioned him as the clear leader in trader consensus. Palou’s historical strength at the track and multiple prior poles created initial support for the Chip Ganassi driver, yet McLaughlin’s final flyer shifted sentiment decisively. The tight cluster around 9.5% for the remaining field, including Pato O’Ward and others eliminated early from group stages, underscores the depth of competition on this technical 11-turn layout while highlighting McLaughlin’s decisive edge in the closing moments.

This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$220
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.indycar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott McLaughlin" at 100%, followed by "Alex Palou" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" is "Scott McLaughlin" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Palou" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IndyCar Grand Prix of Monterey: Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.