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icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

$120,779 Vol.

Aug 21, 2026
Polymarket

$120,779 Vol.

Polymarket

August 14

$10,457 Vol.

5%

August 18

$12,797 Vol.

31%

August 19

$21,111 Vol.

54%

August 20

$10,806 Vol.

62%

August 21

$18,018 Vol.

71%

August 26

$23,416 Vol.

86%

August 31

$24,174 Vol.

93%

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their shared-seed Java Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, targeting the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without in-game deaths that trigger full resets. After five days of near-constant streaming, the duo has logged dozens of deaths with zero boss damage, highlighting the steep difficulty curve and coordination challenges in permadeath mode. Recent clips show minimal progress, hygiene struggles from extended sessions, and even in-game sabotage attempts, all reinforcing trader expectations of extended timelines. With the market heavily favoring completion by August 31 over earlier windows, upcoming catalysts include daily stream updates on boss attempts and any rule clarifications from the creators.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$120,779
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their shared-seed Java Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, targeting the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without in-game deaths that trigger full resets. After five days of near-constant streaming, the duo has logged dozens of deaths with zero boss damage, highlighting the steep difficulty curve and coordination challenges in permadeath mode. Recent clips show minimal progress, hygiene struggles from extended sessions, and even in-game sabotage attempts, all reinforcing trader expectations of extended timelines. With the market heavily favoring completion by August 31 over earlier windows, upcoming catalysts include daily stream updates on boss attempts and any rule clarifications from the creators.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$120,779
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 31" at 93%, followed by "August 26" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" has generated $120.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is "August 31" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 26" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.