**Kylie Jenner’s direct public comments dismissing pregnancy rumors form the core driver behind the market’s 80% implied probability on “No.”** In late August 2026 appearances on the Better Half podcast and related interviews, the 29-year-old makeup mogul laughed off speculation about a third child, noting she had seen the claims but feels no need to address every narrative, while reiterating her earlier promise to focus on herself and her businesses through the rest of her 20s rather than carry another baby soon. No credible outlets or official statements have confirmed a pregnancy with Timothée Chalamet or anyone else, and earlier 2026 social-media claims were traced to parody accounts. With roughly three months left in the year and no supporting evidence emerging from red-carpet appearances or business updates, traders view confirmation as unlikely absent a sudden verified announcement.