Lacy and Marlon’s transition into the Minecraft Hardcore portion of their September 2026 multi-game marathon has produced steady, low-death progress after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, aligning trader consensus around a 4-5 total combined death count as the dominant outcome. Their prior 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days with around 60 deaths, while the 2026 Chained Together effort showed 47 falls over 22 hours, underscoring how duo coordination, fatigue management, and limited recent Hardcore practice can spike early variance yet allow controlled advancement once momentum builds. The current implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of the pair’s endurance benchmarks and cautious playstyle in the current segment. Scenarios that could still shift the tally include sudden mob encounters such as creepers, back-to-back respawn cascades from coordination lapses, or extended stamina drain pushing totals into the 8-9 range before completion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4-5 98.7%
<2 <1%
2-3 <1%
6-7 <1%
$117,136 Vol.
$117,136 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2
No
2-3
No
4-5
Yes
6-7
No
8-9
No
10-11
No
12-13
No
14-15
No
16+
No
4-5 98.7%
<2 <1%
2-3 <1%
6-7 <1%
$117,136 Vol.
$117,136 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<2
$25,357 Vol.
No
2-3
$10,962 Vol.
No
4-5
$35,350 Vol.
Yes
6-7
$16,638 Vol.
No
8-9
$5,710 Vol.
No
10-11
$5,864 Vol.
No
12-13
$7,226 Vol.
No
14-15
$3,230 Vol.
No
16+
$6,798 Vol.
No
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon’s transition into the Minecraft Hardcore portion of their September 2026 multi-game marathon has produced steady, low-death progress after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, aligning trader consensus around a 4-5 total combined death count as the dominant outcome. Their prior 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days with around 60 deaths, while the 2026 Chained Together effort showed 47 falls over 22 hours, underscoring how duo coordination, fatigue management, and limited recent Hardcore practice can spike early variance yet allow controlled advancement once momentum builds. The current implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of the pair’s endurance benchmarks and cautious playstyle in the current segment. Scenarios that could still shift the tally include sudden mob encounters such as creepers, back-to-back respawn cascades from coordination lapses, or extended stamina drain pushing totals into the 8-9 range before completion.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volume
$117,136End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon’s transition into the Minecraft Hardcore portion of their September 2026 multi-game marathon has produced steady, low-death progress after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, aligning trader consensus around a 4-5 total combined death count as the dominant outcome. Their prior 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days with around 60 deaths, while the 2026 Chained Together effort showed 47 falls over 22 hours, underscoring how duo coordination, fatigue management, and limited recent Hardcore practice can spike early variance yet allow controlled advancement once momentum builds. The current implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of the pair’s endurance benchmarks and cautious playstyle in the current segment. Scenarios that could still shift the tally include sudden mob encounters such as creepers, back-to-back respawn cascades from coordination lapses, or extended stamina drain pushing totals into the 8-9 range before completion.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volume
$117,136End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Lacy and Marlon’s transition into the Minecraft Hardcore portion of their September 2026 multi-game marathon has produced steady, low-death progress after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, aligning trader consensus around a 4-5 total combined death count as the dominant outcome. Their prior 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days with around 60 deaths, while the 2026 Chained Together effort showed 47 falls over 22 hours, underscoring how duo coordination, fatigue management, and limited recent Hardcore practice can spike early variance yet allow controlled advancement once momentum builds. The current implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of the pair’s endurance benchmarks and cautious playstyle in the current segment. Scenarios that could still shift the tally include sudden mob encounters such as creepers, back-to-back respawn cascades from coordination lapses, or extended stamina drain pushing totals into the 8-9 range before completion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions