The market's overwhelming 99.7% consensus on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11 stems from official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the day's climatological normal minimum of 18.2–18.3°C. Current observations show daytime highs near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while overnight cooling models project a bottom near 18°C amid typical early-June humidity and light precipitation chances. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines rather than model divergence. A realistic shift below 18°C would require stronger radiative cooling from clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow than currently indicated, though such changes appear unlikely before the day's minimum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.7% consensus on an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11 stems from official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts aligning closely with the day's climatological normal minimum of 18.2–18.3°C. Current observations show daytime highs near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, while overnight cooling models project a bottom near 18°C amid typical early-June humidity and light precipitation chances. This positioning reflects verified observational baselines rather than model divergence. A realistic shift below 18°C would require stronger radiative cooling from clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow than currently indicated, though such changes appear unlikely before the day's minimum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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