Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on June 11 will reach 18°C amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological normals near 18°C and current guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold without significant cooling influences. The near-certain market consensus at 18°C reflects trader confidence in these verified model runs and observational trends. A notable deviation would require an unforecasted cold surge or major measurement discrepancy across official stations, both considered low-probability events this late in the diurnal cycle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on June 11 will reach 18°C amid typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological normals near 18°C and current guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold without significant cooling influences. The near-certain market consensus at 18°C reflects trader confidence in these verified model runs and observational trends. A notable deviation would require an unforecasted cold surge or major measurement discrepancy across official stations, both considered low-probability events this late in the diurnal cycle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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