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icon for Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
Sports·Soccer

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

icon for Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
Sports·Soccer

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$413 Vol.

Polymarket

Oct 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

18%

Dec 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

26%

Feb 28, 2027

$0 Vol.

33%

Apr 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

37%

Jun 30, 2027

$413 Vol.

75%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael Carrick secured the Manchester United head coach role on a permanent two-year deal until 2028 after replacing Ruben Amorim in January 2026 and delivering an immediate turnaround. He collected 36 points from 16 matches, secured third place in the Premier League, and earned Champions League qualification with notable victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Chelsea. As of early September 2026, Carrick has overseen a stable pre-season and expressed confidence ahead of the club’s return to European competition, with the squad showing improved cohesion and results under his 4-2-3-1 approach. Key upcoming factors include the Premier League opener, the Manchester derby, and the Champions League league phase, where early results, squad depth, and any mid-season fixture congestion could influence perceptions of job security amid the club’s post-Ferguson pattern of managerial turnover.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.

The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.

If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$413
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael Carrick secured the Manchester United head coach role on a permanent two-year deal until 2028 after replacing Ruben Amorim in January 2026 and delivering an immediate turnaround. He collected 36 points from 16 matches, secured third place in the Premier League, and earned Champions League qualification with notable victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Chelsea. As of early September 2026, Carrick has overseen a stable pre-season and expressed confidence ahead of the club’s return to European competition, with the squad showing improved cohesion and results under his 4-2-3-1 approach. Key upcoming factors include the Premier League opener, the Manchester derby, and the Champions League league phase, where early results, squad depth, and any mid-season fixture congestion could influence perceptions of job security amid the club’s post-Ferguson pattern of managerial turnover.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.

The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.

If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$413
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jun 30, 2027" at 75%, followed by "Apr 30, 2027" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is "Jun 30, 2027" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apr 30, 2027" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.